Apr 10, 2026 8.05pm

3

1

HT : 1 0

FT Stade Vélodrome

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 13'
Igor Paixão 48'
Arthur Vermeeren 72'
Hamed Junior Traoré 82'
Tochukwu Nnadi 82'
Himad Abdelli 90'
Himad Abdelli 90'+1'
Hamed Junior Traoré 90'+3'

Giorgi Tsitaishvili 49'
Nathan Mbala 81'
Fodé Ballo-Touré 82'
Lucas Michal 87'

Marseille vs Metz - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Marseille vs Metz - prediction, team news, lineups

Preview: Marseille vs Metz - prediction, team news, lineups

Football | 08 Apr 2026 23:09

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

All competitions

L
L
W
W
D
W

Ligue 1

L
L
W
W
W
L

Last game

Apr 5, 2026 7.45pm

Monaco 2 - 1 Marseille

Goals scored

58

Top scorer

Amine Gouiri

Metz

All competitions

D
D
L
L
L
L

Ligue 1

D
D
L
L
L
L

Last game

Apr 5, 2026 4.15pm

Metz 0 - 0 Nantes

Goals scored

26

Top scorer

Koffi Kouao

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 67.25%. A draw had a probability of 20.18% and a win for Metz had a probability of 12.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.27%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.77%) , while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (4.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result

Marseille 67.25% ▼ (-0.05)

Draw 20.18% ▲ (+0.01)

Metz 12.57%

Both Teams to Score:

46.64% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.52% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 1.5 23.48% ▼ (-0.01)

Over 2.5 53.97%

Under 2.5 46.03%

Over 3.5 32%

Under 3.5 68%

Over 4.5 21.12% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 4.5 78.88% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Marseille 49.62%

Draw 34.72%

Metz 15.66%

Team To Score First

Marseille 68.89%

No Goal 6.64%

Metz 24.47%

Corners

Over 8 55.73% ▲ (+0.02)

Equal 8 12.12%

Under 8 32.15% ▼ (-0.03)

Over 9 43.57% ▲ (+0.01)

Equal 9 12.16%

Under 9 44.27% ▼ (-0.02)

Over 10.5 32.43% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 10.5 67.57% ▼ (-0.02)

Marseille Goals

Over 1.5 60.38%

Under 1.5 39.62%

Over 2.5 33.94% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 2.5 66.06% ▼ (-0.01)

Over 3.5 15.92%

Under 3.5 84.08%

Metz Goals

Over 0.5 44.19% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 0.5 55.81% ▼ (-0.02)

Over 1.5 15.64% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 1.5 84.36% ▼ (-0.02)

Over 2.5 4.45% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 2.5 95.55% ▼ (-0.02)

Over 3.5 1.07%

Under 3.5 98.93%

Score analysis

Marseille 67.25%

Draw 20.18%

Metz 12.57%

Marseille

1-0 @ 12.68% ▼ (-0.05)

2-0 @ 12.27% ▼ (-0.01)

2-1 @ 9.39%

3-0 @ 8.5%

3-1 @ 6.23%

3-2 @ 2.46%

Other @ 15.72%

Total : 67.25%

Draw

1-1 @ 8.77% ▲ (+0.01)

0-0 @ 6.64%

2-2 @ 3.74%

Other @ 0.2%

Total : 20.18%

Metz

0-1 @ 4.16%

1-2 @ 3.48%

0-2 @ 1.51%

2-3 @ 1.04%

Other @ 0.87%

Total : 12.57%

Head to Head

Oct 4, 2025 4.00pm

0

3

HT : 0 0

FT

Feb 9, 2024 8.00pm

1

1

HT : 0 0

FT Stade Velodrome

Samuel Gigot 31'
Faris Moumbagna 56'
Jean Onana 82'
Jonathan Clauss 87'

Matthieu Udol 61'

Aug 18, 2023 8.00pm

2

2

HT : 0 1

FT Stade Saint-Symphorien

Kevin N'Doram 9'
Aboubacar Lo 59'
Cheikh Sabaly 65'
Georges Mikautadze 71'
Malick Mbaye 90'
Alexandre Oukidja 90'+8'
Laszlo Boloni 55'+55'

Emran Soglo 14'
Renan Lodi 49'
Vitor Oliveira 82'
Jordan Veretout 85'

Feb 13, 2022 7.45pm

1

2

HT : 0 1

FT

Vincent Pajot 19'
Boubacar Traore 45'+1'
Habib Maiga 52'

Cedric Bakambu 26'
Cedric Bakambu 71'
Arkadiusz Milik 82'
Dimitri Payet 87'

Nov 7, 2021 12.00pm

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT

Duje Caleta-Car 71'

Kevin N'Doram 13'
Boubakar Kouyate 36'
Jemerson 56'
Alexandre Oukidja 90'+7'

May 23, 2021 8.00pm

1

1

HT : 0 0

FT

Dylan Bronn 36'
Pape Sarr 42'
Thierry Ambrose 54'
Farid Boulaya 90'+7'

Pol Lirola 71'
Dimitri Payet 90'+6'
Arkadiusz Milik 90'+14'

Form Data

Monaco 2 - 1 Marseille

Marseille 1 - 2 Lille

Marseille 1 - 0 Auxerre

Toulouse 0 - 1 Marseille

Marseille 2 - 2 Toulouse

Marseille 3 - 2 Lyon

Metz 0 - 0 Nantes

Rennes 0 - 0 Metz

Metz 3 - 4 Toulouse

Lens 3 - 0 Metz

Metz 0 - 1 Brest