Ligue 1 Gameweek 29
Apr 10, 2026 8.05pm
Stade Vélodrome

Marseille vs Metz - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

All competitions
Last game
Apr 5, 2026 7.45pm
Monaco 2 - 1 Marseille
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Amine Gouiri

Metz

All competitions
Last game
Apr 5, 2026 4.15pm
Metz 0 - 0 Nantes
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Koffi Kouao

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Marseille win with a probability of 67.46%. A draw has a probability of 20.09% and a win for Metz has a probability of 12.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (12.3%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.69%) , while for a Metz win it is 0-1 (4.12%).

Result

Marseille 67.46% (-0.23)
Draw 20.09% (+0.02)
Metz 12.46% (+0.21)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.59% (+0.58)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.59% (+0.36)
Under 1.5 23.41% (-0.36)
Over 2.5 54.08% (+0.40)
Under 2.5 45.92% (-0.40)
Over 3.5 32.27% (+0.32)
Under 3.5 67.73% (-0.32)
Over 4.5 21.38% (+0.18)
Under 4.5 78.62% (-0.18)

First Half Winner

Marseille 49.72%
Draw 34.61%
Metz 15.67%

Team To Score First

Marseille 68.88% (+0.12)
No Goal 6.63% (-0.17)
Metz 24.49% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 55.6% (+0.15)
Equal 8 12.12% (+0.01)
Under 8 32.28% (-0.16)
Over 9 43.46% (+0.12)
Equal 9 12.14% (+0.03)
Under 9 44.4% (-0.15)
Over 10.5 32.34% (+0.09)
Under 10.5 67.66% (-0.08)

Marseille Goals

Over 1.5 60.61% (+0.12)
Under 1.5 39.39% (-0.12)
Over 2.5 34.19% (+0.12)
Under 2.5 65.81% (-0.13)
Over 3.5 16.14% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 83.86% (-0.10)

Metz Goals

Over 0.5 43.97% (+0.54)
Under 0.5 56.03% (-0.54)
Over 1.5 15.59% (+0.28)
Under 1.5 84.41% (-0.29)
Over 2.5 4.47% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 95.53% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 1.09% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 98.91% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Marseille 67.47%
Draw 20.09%
Metz 12.47%
Marseille
1-0 @ 12.69% (-0.25)
2-0 @ 12.3% (-0.17)
2-1 @ 9.33% (+0.09)
3-0 @ 8.51% (-0.08)
3-1 @ 6.24% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.47% (+0.05)
Other @ 15.93% (+0.09)
Total : 67.47%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.69% (+0.09)
0-0 @ 6.63% (-0.17)
2-2 @ 3.73% (+0.07)
Other @ 0.21% (+0.01)
Total : 20.09%
Metz
0-1 @ 4.12% (+0.05)
1-2 @ 3.42% (+0.07)
0-2 @ 1.5% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 1.06% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.88% (+0.02)
Total : 12.47%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
Oct 4, 2025 4.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Ligue 1 Gameweek 21
Feb 9, 2024 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Velodrome
  • Samuel Gigot 31' redcard
  • Faris Moumbagna 56' goal
  • Jean Onana 82' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Clauss 87' yellowcard
  • goal Matthieu Udol 61'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 2
Aug 18, 2023 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Saint-Symphorien
  • Kevin N'Doram 9' yellowcard
  • Aboubacar Lo 59' redcard
  • Cheikh Sabaly 65' goal
  • Georges Mikautadze 71' goal
  • Malick Mbaye 90' yellowcard
  • Alexandre Oukidja 90'+8' yellowcard
  • Laszlo Boloni 55'+55' yellowcard
  • goal Emran Soglo 14'
  • yellowcard Renan Lodi 49'
  • goal Vitor Oliveira 82'
  • yellowcard Jordan Veretout 85'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 24
Feb 13, 2022 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Vincent Pajot 19' yellowcard
  • Boubacar Traore 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Habib Maiga 52' goal
  • goal Cedric Bakambu 26'
  • yellowcard Cedric Bakambu 71'
  • goal Arkadiusz Milik 82'
  • yellowcard Dimitri Payet 87'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 13
Nov 7, 2021 12.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Duje Caleta-Car 71' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kevin N'Doram 13'
  • yellowcard Boubakar Kouyate 36'
  • redcard Jemerson 56'
  • yellowcard Alexandre Oukidja 90'+7'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 38
May 23, 2021 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Dylan Bronn 36' yellowcard
  • Pape Sarr 42' yellowcard
  • Thierry Ambrose 54' yellowcard
  • Farid Boulaya 90'+7' goal
  • yellowcard Pol Lirola 71'
  • yellowcard Dimitri Payet 90'+6'
  • goal Arkadiusz Milik 90'+14'