Ligue 1 Gameweek 28
Apr 5, 2026 4.15pm
Stade Saint-Symphorien

Metz vs Nantes - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Metz

All competitions
Last game
Mar 22, 2026 4.15pm
Rennes 0 - 0 Metz
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Koffi Kouao

Nantes

All competitions
Last game
Mar 22, 2026 7.45pm
Nantes 2 - 3 Strasbourg
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Fabien Centonze

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Metz win with a probability of 39.67%. A win for Nantes has a probability of 34.62% and a draw has a probability of 25.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Metz win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Nantes win is 0-1 (8.65%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.86%).

Result

Metz 39.67% (-0.40)
Draw 25.71%
Nantes 34.62% (+0.40)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.93% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.25% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 24.75% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 51.5% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 48.5% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 29.27% (+0.10)
Under 3.5 70.73% (-0.10)
Over 4.5 16.41% (+0.08)
Under 4.5 83.59% (-0.07)

First Half Winner

Metz 32.14% (+0.05)
Draw 40.65% (-0.01)
Nantes 27.21% (-0.04)

Team To Score First

Metz 50.24% (+0.03)
No Goal 6.94% (-0.02)
Nantes 42.82%

Corners

Over 8 52.57% (-0.05)
Equal 8 11.86% (+0.02)
Under 8 35.57% (+0.04)
Over 9 40.96% (-0.07)
Equal 9 11.6% (+0.01)
Under 9 47.43% (+0.05)
Over 10.5 30.53% (-0.08)
Under 10.5 69.47% (+0.07)

Metz Goals

Over 1.5 39.72% (-0.26)
Under 1.5 60.28% (+0.26)
Over 2.5 17% (-0.15)
Under 2.5 83% (+0.15)
Over 3.5 5.88% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 94.12% (+0.06)

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5 68.61% (+0.35)
Under 0.5 31.39% (-0.34)
Over 1.5 35.53% (+0.36)
Under 1.5 64.47% (-0.36)
Over 2.5 13.88% (+0.23)
Under 2.5 86.12% (-0.22)
Over 3.5 4.61% (+0.10)
Under 3.5 95.39% (-0.10)

Score analysis

Metz 39.66%
Draw 25.71%
Nantes 34.61%
Metz
1-0 @ 9.14% (-0.11)
2-1 @ 8.54% (-0.06)
2-0 @ 6.35% (-0.12)
3-1 @ 4.03% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3.26% (-0.07)
3-2 @ 2.66%
Other @ 5.68% (-0.06)
Total : 39.66%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.86% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.94% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.54% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 25.71%
Nantes
0-1 @ 8.65% (+0.06)
1-2 @ 7.89% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 5.56% (+0.08)
1-3 @ 3.28% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 2.53% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.29% (+0.04)
Other @ 4.41% (+0.09)
Total : 34.61%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
Nov 2, 2025 4.15pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Ligue 1 Gameweek 24
Mar 3, 2024 2.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
  • Douglas 63' yellowcard
  • Jean-Charles Castelletto 64' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Cozza 68' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Fali Cande 2'
  • yellowcard Maxime Colin 28'
  • goal Georges Mikautadze 58'
  • goal Matthieu Udol 60'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 12
Nov 12, 2023 2.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Stade Saint-Symphorien
  • Kevin Van Den Kerkhof 3' goal
  • Simon Elisor 28' goal
  • Joel Asoro 85' goal
  • goal Moses Simon 12'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 26
Feb 27, 2022 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ibrahim Amadou 59' yellowcard
  • Vincent Pajot 86' redcard
  • yellowcard Wylan Cyprien 40'
  • yellowcard Charles Traore 51'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 2
Aug 15, 2021 2.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
  • Randal Kolo 12' goal
  • Ludovic Blas 49' goal
  • Ludovic Blas 53' yellowcard
  • Marcus Coco 90' yellowcard
Ligue 1 Gameweek 21
Jan 24, 2021 2.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Vagner Goncalves 29' yellowcard
  • Aaron Leya Iseka 35' goal
  • Pape Sarr 85' yellowcard
  • Farid Boulaya 89' yellowcard
  • Farid Boulaya 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Marcus Coco 66'
  • yellowcard Andrei Girotto 90'