Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 64.23%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Metz had a probability of 15.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.88%) and 2-1 (10.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%) , while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.