Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 52.2%. A draw had a probability of 24.24% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 23.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.77%) and 0-2 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%) , while for a Nantes win it was 1-0 (6.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.