/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmonlog_1.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmarlog.png)
-
Aleksandr Golovin
59'
-
Aladji Bamba
65'
-
Krépin Diatta
65'
-
Folarin Balogun
74'
-
Ansu Fati
75'
-
Ansu Fati
77'
-
Mika Biereth
84'
-
Simon Adingra
84'
-
Simon Adingra
85'
-
Ethan Nwaneri
73'
-
Leonardo Balerdi
77'
-
Amine Gouiri
85'
-
Emerson
89'
-
Himad Abdelli
89'
-
Himad Abdelli
90'
Monaco vs Marseille - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2026%2F03%2Ffolarin-balogun-69bc7d14410cc030304841.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 36.15% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.25%) and 2-0 (5.29%). The likeliest Marseille win was 1-2 (7.72%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
Result
Monaco
41.21%
▲
(+0.04)
Draw
22.6%
▼
(-0.01)
Marseille
36.15%
▼
(-0.08)
Both Teams to Score:
63.49%
▼
(-0.13)
Goals
Over 1.5
84.21%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 1.5
15.79%
▲
(+0.10)
Over 2.5
64.62%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 2.5
35.38%
▲
(+0.14)
Over 3.5
43.34%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 3.5
56.66%
▲
(+0.13)
Over 4.5
27.29%
▼
(-0.14)
Under 4.5
72.71%
▲
(+0.13)
First Half Winner
Monaco
31.49%
Draw
37.71%
Marseille
30.8%
Team To Score First
Monaco
47.88%
▼
(-0.01)
No Goal
3.77%
▲
(+0.03)
Marseille
48.35%
▼
(-0.01)
Corners
Over 8
49.8%
▲
(+0.19)
Equal 8
12.26%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 8
37.94%
▼
(-0.21)
Over 9
38.08%
▲
(+0.18)
Equal 9
11.72%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 9
50.2%
▼
(-0.19)
Over 10.5
27.79%
▲
(+0.13)
Under 10.5
72.21%
▼
(-0.14)
Monaco Goals
Over 1.5
47.9%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 1.5
52.1%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 2.5
23.76%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 2.5
76.24%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 3.5
9.85%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 3.5
90.15%
▲
(+0.06)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5
72.23%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 0.5
27.77%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 1.5
43.54%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 1.5
56.46%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 2.5
20.47%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 2.5
79.53%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 3.5
8.09%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 3.5
91.91%
▲
(+0.05)
Score analysis
Monaco
41.21%
Draw
22.61%
Marseille
36.15%
Monaco
2-1
@
8.33%
1-0 @ 6.25% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 5.29% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 4.97% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.94% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.96% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 9.47% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 41.21%
1-0 @ 6.25% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 5.29% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 4.97% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.94% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.96% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 9.47% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 41.21%
Draw
1-1
@
9.65%
▲
(+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.77% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 3.77% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 2.04% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 22.61%
2-2 @ 6.77% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 3.77% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 2.04% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 22.61%
Marseille
1-2
@
7.72%
0-1 @ 5.74% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.64% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 4.32%
2-3 @ 3.75% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.27% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 7.71% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 36.15%
0-1 @ 5.74% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.64% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 4.32%
2-3 @ 3.75% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.27% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 7.71% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 36.15%
Head to Head
Guillermo Maripan
11'
-
Maghnes Akliouche
8'
-
Folarin Balogun
23'
-
Youssouf Fofana
42'
-
Maghnes Akliouche
52'
-
Denis Zakaria
59'
-
Eliot Matazo
76'
-
Soungoutou Magassa
90'+2'
-
Iliman Ndiaye
1'
-
Samuel Gigot
18'
-
Joaquin Correa
54'
-
Joaquin Correa
59'
-
Jonathan Clauss
73'
-
Valentin Rongier
77'