Ligue 1 Gameweek 28
Apr 5, 2026 7.45pm
Stade Louis II.

Monaco vs Marseille - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Monaco

All competitions
Last game
Mar 22, 2026 2.00pm
Lyon 1 - 2 Monaco
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Folarin Balogun

Marseille

All competitions
Last game
Mar 22, 2026 4.15pm
Marseille 1 - 2 Lille
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Amine Gouiri

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Monaco win with a probability of 41.98%. A win for Marseille has a probability of 34.96% and a draw has a probability of 23.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (6.35%) and 2-0 (5.32%). The likeliest Marseille win is 1-2 (7.78%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.91%).

Result

Monaco 41.98% (-0.07)
Draw 23.07% (+0.08)
Marseille 34.96%

Both Teams to Score: 

62.63% (-0.10)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.8% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 16.2% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 64.06% (-0.18)
Under 2.5 35.87% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 41.97% (-0.21)
Under 3.5 58.03% (+0.21)
Over 4.5 26.26% (-0.17)
Under 4.5 73.74% (+0.18)

First Half Winner

Monaco 31.31%
Draw 37.96%
Marseille 30.73%

Team To Score First

Monaco 48.86% (-0.03)
No Goal 4% (+0.03)
Marseille 47.14% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 51.05%
Equal 8 12.35%
Under 8 36.6%
Over 9 39.1%
Equal 9 11.94%
Under 9 48.95%
Over 10.5 28.53%
Under 10.5 71.47%

Monaco Goals

Over 1.5 48.24% (-0.13)
Under 1.5 51.76% (+0.13)
Over 2.5 24.19% (-0.15)
Under 2.5 75.81% (+0.16)
Over 3.5 10.14% (-0.10)
Under 3.5 89.86% (+0.10)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5 71.35% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 28.65% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 42.06% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 57.94% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 19.27% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 80.73% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 7.31% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 92.69% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Monaco 41.97%
Draw 23.07%
Marseille 34.97%
Monaco
2-1 @ 8.55% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 6.35% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 5.32% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.97% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.79% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3.29%
Other @ 9.7% (-0.11)
Total : 41.97%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.91% (+0.06)
2-2 @ 6.72%
0-0 @ 4% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 2% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 23.07%
Marseille
1-2 @ 7.78% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 5.86% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 4.5% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.03%
2-3 @ 3.46% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.47%
Other @ 6.87% (-0.04)
Total : 34.97%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
Dec 14, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Geoffrey Kondogbia 40' yellowcard
  • Mason Greenwood 82' goal
  • Mason Greenwood 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Vanderson 64'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 29
Apr 12, 2025 4.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Louis II.
  • Wilfried Singo 9' yellowcard
  • Takumi Minamino 34' goal
  • Breel Embolo 58' goal
  • Thilo Kehrer 78' yellowcard
  • Denis Zakaria 82' goal
  • yellowcard Amine Harit 87'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 13
Dec 1, 2024 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Velodrome
  • Luis Henrique 53' goal
  • Mason Greenwood 89' goal
  • goal Aleksandr Golovin 41'
  • yellowcard Vanderson 90'+3'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 19
Jan 27, 2024 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT Stade Velodrome
  • Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 38' goal
  • Leonardo Balerdi 50' goal
  • Emran Soglo 76' yellowcard
  • goal Wissam Ben Yedder 7'
  • redcard Guillermo Maripan 11'
  • goal Maghnes Akliouche 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Denis Zakaria 75'
  • yellowcard Thilo Kehrer 82'
  • redcard Denis Zakaria 86'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 7
Sep 30, 2023 8.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 2
FT Stade Louis II.
  • Maghnes Akliouche 8' goal
  • Folarin Balogun 23' goal
  • Youssouf Fofana 42' yellowcard
  • Maghnes Akliouche 52' goal
  • Denis Zakaria 59' yellowcard
  • Eliot Matazo 76' yellowcard
  • Soungoutou Magassa 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Iliman Ndiaye 1'
  • goal Samuel Gigot 18'
  • yellowcard Joaquin Correa 54'
  • yellowcard Joaquin Correa 59'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Clauss 73'
  • yellowcard Valentin Rongier 77'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 20
Jan 28, 2023 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Alexis Sanchez 47' goal
  • goal Jordan Veretout 17' (OG)