Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 55.76%. A draw had a probability of 22.35% and a win for Brest had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%) , while for a Brest win it was 1-2 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.