Ligue 1
Apr 12, 2026 4.15pm
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT Stadium de Toulouse
  • Alexis Vossah 59' yellowcard
  • Charlie Cresswell 59' yellowcard
  • Warren Kamanzi 60' yellowcard
  • Alexis Vossah 60' yellowcard
  • Jacen Russell-Rowe 71' yellowcard
  • 71' yellowcard
  • Santiago Hidalgo 76' yellowcard
  • goal Thomas Meunier 23'
  • goal Romain Perraud 50'
  • goal Matías Fernández-Pardo 55'
  • yellowcard Gaëtan Perrin 71'
  • yellowcard Ethan Mbappé 71'
  • yellowcard Olivier Giroud 76'
  • yellowcard Calvin Verdonk 82'
  • yellowcard Tiago Santos 82'
  • yellowcard Calvin Verdonk 83'
  • yellowcard Olivier Giroud 88'
  • yellowcard Olivier Giroud 89'

Toulouse vs Lille - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

All competitions
Last game
Apr 3, 2026 7.45pm
PSG 3 - 1 Toulouse
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Yann Gboho

Lille

All competitions
Last game
Apr 4, 2026 8.05pm
Lille 3 - 0 Lens
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Matías Fernández-Pardo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 37.36%. A win for Lille had a probability of 36.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.01%). The likeliest Lille win was 0-1 (8.88%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%).

Result

Toulouse 37.36% (+0.08)
Draw 26.22%
Lille 36.45% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.49% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.75% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 25.25% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 50.6% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 49.4% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 28.47% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 71.53% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 15.71% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 84.29% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Toulouse 27.64%
Draw 45.08%
Lille 27.29%

Team To Score First

Toulouse 47.28% (-0.01)
No Goal 7.03% (+0.03)
Lille 45.69% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 48.63% (-0.05)
Equal 8 12.45% (-0.02)
Under 8 38.92% (+0.07)
Over 9 36.83% (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.81% (-0.01)
Under 9 51.37% (+0.05)
Over 10.5 26.56% (-0.04)
Under 10.5 73.44% (+0.04)

Toulouse Goals

Over 1.5 37.3%
Under 1.5 62.7%
Over 2.5 14.81%
Under 2.5 85.19%
Over 3.5 4.77% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 95.23% (+0.02)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5 70.3% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 29.7% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 37.02% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 62.98% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 14.74% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 85.26% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 4.81% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 95.19% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Toulouse 37.36%
Draw 26.22%
Lille 36.45%
Toulouse
1-0 @ 9.37% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 8.48%
2-0 @ 6.01% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.57% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.68%
3-2 @ 2.61% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.64%
Total : 37.36%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.35% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 7.03% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.53% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.13% (-0.02)
Total : 26.22%
Lille
0-1 @ 8.88%
1-2 @ 8.35% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 5.79%
1-3 @ 3.66% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.62% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.47%
Other @ 4.68% (-0.04)
Total : 36.45%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
Sep 14, 2025 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Ligue 1 Gameweek 29
Apr 12, 2025 6.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
  • Charlie Cresswell 42' goal
  • Charlie Cresswell 64' yellowcard
  • goal Matias Fernandez Pardo 21'
  • goal Mitchel Bakker 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Alexsandro 71'
  • yellowcard Ethan Mbappe Lottin 85'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 7
Oct 5, 2024 6.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Pierre-Mauroy
  • Andre Gomes 8' yellowcard
  • Alexsandro 15' yellowcard
  • Angel Gomes 57' goal
  • Mitchel Bakker 72' goal
  • Tiago Santos 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Zakaria Aboukhlal 39'
  • yellowcard Djibril Sidibe 44'
  • yellowcard Frank Magri 90'+3'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 23
Feb 25, 2024 2.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
  • Frank Magri 34' yellowcard
  • Christian Mawissa 49' goal
  • Vincent Sierro 60' goal
  • Thijs Dallinga 66' goal
  • Vincent Sierro 70' yellowcard
  • goal Hakon Arnar Haraldsson 45'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 12
Nov 12, 2023 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Pierre-Mauroy
  • Leny Yoro 30' goal
  • Nabil Bentaleb 38' yellowcard
  • Jonathan David 47' yellowcard
  • Alexsandro 64' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Stijn Spierings 62'
  • goal Thijs Dallinga 65'
  • yellowcard Thijs Dallinga 82'
  • yellowcard Rasmus Nicolaisen 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Ibrahim Cissoko 90'+7'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 28
Mar 18, 2023 4.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Alexsandro 85'
  • goal Mohamed Bayo 90'+11'