Ligue 1 Gameweek 29
Apr 12, 2026 4.15pm
Stadium de Toulouse

Toulouse vs Lille - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

All competitions
Last game
Apr 3, 2026 7.45pm
PSG 3 - 1 Toulouse
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Yann Gboho

Lille

All competitions
Last game
Apr 4, 2026 8.05pm
Lille 3 - 0 Lens
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Hakon Arnar Haraldsson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Toulouse win with a probability of 37.29%. A win for Lille has a probability of 36.48% and a draw has a probability of 26.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (5.99%). The likeliest Lille win is 0-1 (8.87%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.32%).

Result

Toulouse 37.29%
Draw 26.22%
Lille 36.48% (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.49% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.74% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 25.26% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 50.66% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 49.34% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 28.5% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 71.5% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 15.72% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 84.28% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Toulouse 27.64%
Draw 45.08%
Lille 27.29%

Team To Score First

Toulouse 47.28%
No Goal 7.02%
Lille 45.7%

Corners

Over 8 48.68%
Equal 8 12.46%
Under 8 38.86%
Over 9 36.86%
Equal 9 11.82%
Under 9 51.32%
Over 10.5 26.59%
Under 10.5 73.42%

Toulouse Goals

Over 1.5 37.28% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 62.72% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 14.8% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 85.2% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 4.77% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 95.23% (+0.02)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5 70.31% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 29.69% (+0.07)
Over 1.5 37.08% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 62.92% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 14.78% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 85.22% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 4.84% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 95.16% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Toulouse 37.28%
Draw 26.22%
Lille 36.47%
Toulouse
1-0 @ 9.34%
2-1 @ 8.48%
2-0 @ 5.99%
3-1 @ 3.56%
3-0 @ 2.68%
3-2 @ 2.6%
Other @ 4.63% (-0.01)
Total : 37.28%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.32%
0-0 @ 7.02%
2-2 @ 5.55%
3-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 26.22%
Lille
0-1 @ 8.87% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 8.37%
0-2 @ 5.78% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.66% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.63% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.46% (-0.02)
Other @ 4.7% (-0.01)
Total : 36.47%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
Sep 14, 2025 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Ligue 1 Gameweek 29
Apr 12, 2025 6.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
  • Charlie Cresswell 42' goal
  • Charlie Cresswell 64' yellowcard
  • goal Matias Fernandez Pardo 21'
  • goal Mitchel Bakker 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Alexsandro 71'
  • yellowcard Ethan Mbappe Lottin 85'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 7
Oct 5, 2024 6.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Pierre-Mauroy
  • Andre Gomes 8' yellowcard
  • Alexsandro 15' yellowcard
  • Angel Gomes 57' goal
  • Mitchel Bakker 72' goal
  • Tiago Santos 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Zakaria Aboukhlal 39'
  • yellowcard Djibril Sidibe 44'
  • yellowcard Frank Magri 90'+3'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 23
Feb 25, 2024 2.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
  • Frank Magri 34' yellowcard
  • Christian Mawissa 49' goal
  • Vincent Sierro 60' goal
  • Thijs Dallinga 66' goal
  • Vincent Sierro 70' yellowcard
  • goal Hakon Arnar Haraldsson 45'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 12
Nov 12, 2023 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Pierre-Mauroy
  • Leny Yoro 30' goal
  • Nabil Bentaleb 38' yellowcard
  • Jonathan David 47' yellowcard
  • Alexsandro 64' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Stijn Spierings 62'
  • goal Thijs Dallinga 65'
  • yellowcard Thijs Dallinga 82'
  • yellowcard Rasmus Nicolaisen 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Ibrahim Cissoko 90'+7'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 28
Mar 18, 2023 4.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Alexsandro 85'
  • goal Mohamed Bayo 90'+11'