Ligue 1 Gameweek 28
Apr 4, 2026 6.00pm
Stade Francis-Le Ble

Brest vs Rennes - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Brest

All competitions
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 6.00pm
Auxerre 3 - 0 Brest
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Ludovic Ajorque

Rennes

All competitions
Last game
Mar 22, 2026 4.15pm
Rennes 0 - 0 Metz
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Esteban Lepaul

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Brest win with a probability of 41.02%. A win for Rennes has a probability of 34.13% and a draw has a probability of 24.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.52%) and 2-0 (5.72%). The likeliest Rennes win is 1-2 (7.86%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.07%).

Result

Brest 41.02% (+0.16)
Draw 24.78% (-0.06)
Rennes 34.13% (-0.19)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.05%

Goals

Over 1.5 80.4% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 19.6% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 58.9% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 41.1% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 36.64% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 63.36% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 22.06% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 77.94% (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Brest 31.08%
Draw 41.02%
Rennes 27.89%

Team To Score First

Brest 48.79% (+0.01)
No Goal 5.22% (-0.03)
Rennes 45.99% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 56.54% (+0.12)
Equal 8 12.31% (+0.01)
Under 8 31.16% (-0.11)
Over 9 44.08% (+0.11)
Equal 9 12.46% (+0.03)
Under 9 43.46% (-0.12)
Over 10.5 32.61% (+0.08)
Under 10.5 67.39% (-0.07)

Brest Goals

Over 1.5 45.08% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 54.92% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 21.16% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 78.84% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 8.37% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 91.63% (-0.08)

Rennes Goals

Over 0.5 70.27% (-0.21)
Under 0.5 29.73% (+0.20)
Over 1.5 39.12% (-0.21)
Under 1.5 60.88% (+0.21)
Over 2.5 16.91% (-0.15)
Under 2.5 83.09% (+0.15)
Over 3.5 5.96% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 94.04% (+0.09)

Score analysis

Brest 41.01%
Draw 24.79%
Rennes 34.13%
Brest
2-1 @ 8.75% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.52%
2-0 @ 5.72%
3-1 @ 4.54% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.28%
3-0 @ 3.22% (+0.03)
Other @ 7.98% (+0.10)
Total : 41.01%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.07% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.36% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.22% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.75% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.39% (-0.02)
Total : 24.79%
Rennes
1-2 @ 7.86% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 6.79% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.71% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 3.69% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 3.09% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.42% (-0.03)
Other @ 5.57% (-0.07)
Total : 34.13%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
Dec 13, 2025 4.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Esteban Lepaul 24' goal
  • Moussa Al Tamari 25' goal
  • Moussa Al Tamari 29' yellowcard
  • Mohamed Kade Meite 87' goal
  • Brice Samba 90' yellowcard
  • goal Mama Balde 13'
  • yellowcard Kamory Doumbia 64'
  • yellowcard Soumaula Coulibaly 86'
  • yellowcard Soumaula Coulibaly 87'
  • yellowcard Eric Ebimbe 90'+1'
Club Friendlies 1
Jul 19, 2025 4.30pm
Ligue 1 Gameweek 18
Jan 18, 2025 6.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Roazhon Park
  • Ludovic Blas 41' yellowcard
  • Ludovic Blas 77' goal
  • Seko Fofana 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Hugo Magnetti 27'
  • yellowcard Tolikpaley Luc Evrad Zogbe 44'
  • yellowcard Mahdi Camara 71'
  • goal Ludovic Ajorque 73'
  • yellowcard Abdallah Sima 90'+6'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 8
Oct 19, 2024 4.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Francis-Le Ble
  • Romain Del Castillo 54' goal
  • Ludovic Ajorque 62' yellowcard
  • Niakhate Ndiaye 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Adrien Truffert 39'
  • yellowcard Alidu Seidu 72'
  • goal Jota 86'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 31
Apr 28, 2024 4.05pm
4
5
HT : 2 1
FT Roazhon Park
  • Arnaud Kalimuendo 4' goal
  • Arnaud Kalimuendo 9' goal
  • Martin Terrier 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Azor Matusiwa 56' yellowcard
  • Arthur Theate 68' goal
  • Martin Terrier 79' goal
  • Arnaud Kalimuendo 80' yellowcard
  • Enzo Le Fee 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Steve Mounie 11'
  • goal Warmed Omari 48' (OG)
  • goal Martin Satriano 54'
  • goal Mahdi Camara 66'
  • yellowcard Pierre Lees-Melou 75'
  • goal Lilian Brassier 90'+6'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 4
Sep 2, 2023 4.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Francis-Le Ble
  • Romain Del Castillo 27' yellowcard
  • Jonas Martin 80' yellowcard
  • Brendan Chardonnet 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lorenz Assignon 73'