Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 38.67%. A win for Brest had a probability of 35.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (8.82%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.