Ligue 1
Nantes
Apr 19, 2026 4.15pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
Brest
  • Mostafa Mohamed 9' goal
  • Louis Leroux 45' yellowcard
  • Louis Leroux 46' yellowcard
  • Matthis Abline 77' yellowcard
  • Matthis Abline 78' yellowcard
  • Mathieu Acapandié 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Hamidou Makalou 67'
  • yellowcard Kenny Lala 67'
  • yellowcard Kenny Lala 68'
  • yellowcard Pathé Mboup 78'
  • goal Brendan Chardonnet 90'+5'

Nantes vs Brest - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Nantes

All competitions
Last game
Apr 11, 2026 6.00pm
Auxerre 0 - 0 Nantes
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Fabien Centonze

Brest

All competitions
Last game
Apr 4, 2026 6.00pm
Brest 3 - 4 Rennes
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Ludovic Ajorque

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 37.21%. A win for Brest had a probability of 37.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (5.65%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-2 (8.3%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result

Nantes 37.21% ▲ (+0.71)
Draw 25.55% ▼ (-0.26)
Brest 37.2% ▼ (-0.51)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.72% ▼ (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.24%
Under 1.5 22.76%
Over 2.5 54.54% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 45.46% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 32.71% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 3.5 67.29% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 4.5 19.02% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 4.5 80.98% ▼ (-0.15)

First Half Winner

Nantes 28.3% ▲ (+0.32)
Draw 44.34% ▼ (-0.22)
Brest 27.36% ▼ (-0.09)

Team To Score First

Nantes 47.23% ▲ (+0.55)
No Goal 6.33%
Brest 46.44% ▼ (-0.56)

Corners

Over 8 52.99% ▼ (-0.31)
Equal 8 11.96% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 35.05% ▲ (+0.31)
Over 9 41.26% ▼ (-0.27)
Equal 9 11.74% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 9 47% ▲ (+0.30)
Over 10.5 30.69% ▼ (-0.21)
Under 10.5 69.31% ▲ (+0.21)

Nantes Goals

Over 1.5 39.26% ▲ (+0.41)
Under 1.5 60.74% ▼ (-0.41)
Over 2.5 16.6% ▲ (+0.37)
Under 2.5 83.4% ▼ (-0.36)
Over 3.5 5.78% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 3.5 94.22% ▼ (-0.13)

Brest Goals

Over 0.5 71.33% ▼ (-0.44)
Under 0.5 28.67% ▲ (+0.45)
Over 1.5 39.91% ▼ (-0.47)
Under 1.5 60.09% ▲ (+0.47)
Over 2.5 17.19% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 2.5 82.81% ▲ (+0.24)
Over 3.5 6.37% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 93.63% ▲ (+0.04)

Score analysis

Nantes 37.22%
Draw 25.56%
Brest 37.22%
Nantes
1-0 @ 8.51% ▲ (+0.09)
2-1 @ 8.19% ▲ (+0.11)
2-0 @ 5.65% ▲ (+0.09)
3-1 @ 3.84% ▲ (+0.10)
3-2 @ 2.85% ▲ (+0.10)
3-0 @ 2.65% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 5.53% ▲ (+0.17)
Total : 37.22%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.47% ▼ (-0.09)
0-0 @ 6.33%
2-2 @ 6.03% ▼ (-0.10)
3-3 @ 1.48% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.25% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 25.56%
Brest
1-2 @ 8.3% ▼ (-0.15)
0-1 @ 7.92% ▼ (-0.11)
0-2 @ 5.54% ▼ (-0.08)
1-3 @ 3.84% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.79% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 2.71% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 6.12% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 37.22%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
Brest
Oct 4, 2025 6.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Nantes
Ligue 1 Gameweek 21
Nantes
Feb 7, 2025 6.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
Brest
  • Douglas 66' yellowcard
  • Pedro Chirivella 86' yellowcard
  • Kelvin Amian 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Ludovic Ajorque 9'
  • yellowcard Hugo Magnetti 36'
  • yellowcard Marco Bizot 89'
  • goal Pierre Lees-Melou 90'+6'
Coupe de France
Brest
Jan 15, 2025 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Stade Francis-Le Ble
Nantes
  • Abdallah Sima 24' goal
  • Brendan Chardonnet 34' goal
  • Mama Balde 87' yellowcard
  • Niakhate Ndiaye 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Bahereba Guirassy 82'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 15
Brest
Dec 15, 2024 4.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT Stade Francis-Le Ble
Nantes
  • Brendan Chardonnet 15' yellowcard
  • Kamory Doumbia 24' goal
  • Brendan Chardonnet 27' goal
  • Hugo Magnetti 54' yellowcard
  • Mahdi Camara 76' yellowcard
  • Abdallah Sima 88' goal
  • Abdallah Sima 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Jean-Charles Castelletto 46'
  • goal Douglas 48'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Pallois 58'
  • yellowcard Pedro Chirivella 60'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 32
Brest
May 4, 2024 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Francis-Le Ble
Nantes
  • Bradley Locko 21' yellowcard
  • Kenny Lala 59' yellowcard
  • Kamory Doumbia 87' yellowcard
  • Kamory Doumbia 93' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Benie Traore 54'
  • yellowcard Pedro Chirivella 89'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 16
Nantes
Dec 17, 2023 12.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
Brest
  • Alban Lafont 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mahdi Camara 28'
  • goal Hugo Magnetti 49'
  • goal Steve Mounie 57'
  • yellowcard Jeremy Le Douaron 86'
  • yellowcard Martin Satriano 90'

Form Data

Auxerre 0 - 0 Nantes
Metz 0 - 0 Nantes
Nantes 2 - 3 Strasbourg
Nantes 0 - 1 Angers
Lille 1 - 0 Nantes
Nantes 2 - 0 Le Havre
Brest 3 - 4 Rennes
Auxerre 3 - 0 Brest
Monaco 2 - 0 Brest
Brest 2 - 0 Le Havre
Metz 0 - 1 Brest
Brest 2 - 0 Marseille