Ligue 1 Gameweek 30
Apr 19, 2026 4.15pm
Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau

Nantes vs Brest - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Nantes

All competitions
Last game
Apr 11, 2026 6.00pm
Auxerre 0 - 0 Nantes
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Fabien Centonze

Brest

All competitions
Last game
Apr 4, 2026 6.00pm
Brest 3 - 4 Rennes
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Ludovic Ajorque

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Brest win with a probability of 37.74%. A win for Nantes has a probability of 37.23% and a draw has a probability of 25.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.97%) and 0-2 (5.41%). The likeliest Nantes win is 2-1 (8.41%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.4%).

Result

Nantes 37.23%
Draw 25.06%
Brest 37.74% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.06%

Goals

Over 1.5 77.87% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 22.13% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 55.47%
Under 2.5 44.53%
Over 3.5 32.83%
Under 3.5 67.17%
Over 4.5 19.19% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 80.81% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Nantes 30.2%
Draw 41.88%
Brest 27.93%

Team To Score First

Nantes 47.37%
No Goal 5.93%
Brest 46.7%

Corners

Over 8 56.02% (-0.01)
Equal 8 12.01%
Under 8 31.98% (+0.02)
Over 9 43.97%
Equal 9 12.05%
Under 9 43.98% (+0.01)
Over 10.5 32.91%
Under 10.5 67.09%

Nantes Goals

Over 1.5 39.64% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 60.36% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 16.68% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 83.32% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 5.86% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 94.14% (-0.02)

Brest Goals

Over 0.5 71.84% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 28.16% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 40.28% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 59.72% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 17.47% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 82.53% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 6.39%
Under 3.5 93.61%

Score analysis

Nantes 37.23%
Draw 25.07%
Brest 37.73%
Nantes
2-1 @ 8.41%
1-0 @ 8.26% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.59% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.78% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.79% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.02)
Other @ 5.62%
Total : 37.23%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.4%
2-2 @ 6.03%
0-0 @ 5.93%
3-3 @ 1.47%
Other @ 0.24% (+0.01)
Total : 25.07%
Brest
1-2 @ 8.59% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 7.97% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 5.41% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.83% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.93% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 2.85% (-0.01)
Other @ 6.15% (-0.01)
Total : 37.73%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
Oct 4, 2025 6.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Ligue 1 Gameweek 21
Feb 7, 2025 6.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
  • Douglas 66' yellowcard
  • Pedro Chirivella 86' yellowcard
  • Kelvin Amian 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Ludovic Ajorque 9'
  • yellowcard Hugo Magnetti 36'
  • yellowcard Marco Bizot 89'
  • goal Pierre Lees-Melou 90'+6'
Coupe de France
Jan 15, 2025 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Stade Francis-Le Ble
  • Abdallah Sima 24' goal
  • Brendan Chardonnet 34' goal
  • Mama Balde 87' yellowcard
  • Niakhate Ndiaye 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Bahereba Guirassy 82'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 15
Dec 15, 2024 4.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT Stade Francis-Le Ble
  • Brendan Chardonnet 15' yellowcard
  • Kamory Doumbia 24' goal
  • Brendan Chardonnet 27' goal
  • Hugo Magnetti 54' yellowcard
  • Mahdi Camara 76' yellowcard
  • Abdallah Sima 88' goal
  • Abdallah Sima 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Jean-Charles Castelletto 46'
  • goal Douglas 48'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Pallois 58'
  • yellowcard Pedro Chirivella 60'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 32
May 4, 2024 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Francis-Le Ble
  • Bradley Locko 21' yellowcard
  • Kenny Lala 59' yellowcard
  • Kamory Doumbia 87' yellowcard
  • Kamory Doumbia 93' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Benie Traore 54'
  • yellowcard Pedro Chirivella 89'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 16
Dec 17, 2023 12.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
  • Alban Lafont 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mahdi Camara 28'
  • goal Hugo Magnetti 49'
  • goal Steve Mounie 57'
  • yellowcard Jeremy Le Douaron 86'
  • yellowcard Martin Satriano 90'