Champions League
May 6, 2026 8.00pm
Allianz Arena

Bayern Munich vs Paris Saint-Germain - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Apr 28, 2026 8.00pm
PSG 5 - 4 Bayern

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Apr 28, 2026 8.00pm
PSG 5 - 4 Bayern

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 48.89%. A win for Paris Saint-Germain has a probability of 30.77% and a draw has a probability of 20.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win is 2-1 with a probability of 7.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-1 (5.98%) and 3-2 (5.6%). The likeliest Paris Saint-Germain win is 1-2 (7.68%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.13%).

Result

Bayern Munich 48.89% (-0.73)
Draw 20.37% (-0.26)
Paris Saint-Germain 30.77% (+1.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

68.89% (+0.52)

Goals

Over 1.5 89.01% (+1.08)
Under 1.5 10.99% (-1.08)
Over 2.5 72.02% (+0.83)
Under 2.5 27.94% (-0.87)
Over 3.5 52.03% (+1.11)
Under 3.5 47.97% (-1.11)
Over 4.5 35.96% (+1.18)
Under 4.5 64.04% (-1.17)

First Half Winner

Bayern Munich 39.7% (+1.11)
Draw 30.59% (-3.19)
Paris Saint-Germain 29.71% (+2.09)

Team To Score First

Bayern Munich 50.62% (-5.28)
No Goal 2.31% (-0.53)
Paris Saint-Germain 47.07% (+5.80)

Corners

Over 8 72.96% (+10.25)
Equal 8 9.48% (-1.35)
Under 8 17.56% (-8.91)
Over 9 61.93% (+10.69)
Equal 9 11.03% (-0.44)
Under 9 27.04% (-10.25)
Over 10.5 50.27% (+10.17)
Under 10.5 49.73% (-10.17)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 1.5 57.53% (-0.29)
Under 1.5 42.47% (+0.29)
Over 2.5 34.31% (-0.27)
Under 2.5 65.69% (+0.27)
Over 3.5 16.24% (-1.16)
Under 3.5 83.76% (+1.16)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5 67.85% (+2.74)
Under 0.5 32.15% (-2.75)
Over 1.5 42.77% (+2.63)
Under 1.5 57.23% (-2.63)
Over 2.5 19.25% (+1.15)
Under 2.5 80.75% (-1.16)
Over 3.5 8.03% (+0.53)
Under 3.5 91.97% (-0.54)

Score analysis

Bayern Munich 48.89%
Draw 20.38%
Paris Saint-Germain 30.77%
Bayern Munich
2-1 @ 7.43% (+0.18)
3-1 @ 5.98% (-0.14)
3-2 @ 5.6% (+1.38)
2-0 @ 5.26% (-0.30)
1-0 @ 5.18% (-0.25)
3-0 @ 3.74% (-0.50)
Other @ 15.7% (-1.13)
Total : 48.89%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.13% (+0.33)
2-2 @ 6.65% (-0.14)
3-3 @ 2.75% (+0.15)
0-0 @ 2.31% (-0.53)
Other @ 0.54% (-0.03)
Total : 20.38%
Paris Saint-Germain
1-2 @ 7.68% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 3.88% (+0.24)
0-2 @ 3.59% (+0.18)
0-1 @ 3.54% (-0.24)
1-3 @ 3.45% (+0.25)
0-3 @ 1.14% (-0.02)
Other @ 7.49% (+0.57)
Total : 30.77%

Head to Head

Champions League
Apr 28, 2026 8.00pm
5
4
HT : 2 1
FT Parc des Princes
  • Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 24' goal
  • João Neves 33' goal
  • Ousmane Dembélé 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 56' goal
  • Ousmane Dembélé 58' goal
  • Fabián Ruiz 64' yellowcard
  • Bradley Barcola 70' yellowcard
  • Bradley Barcola 71' yellowcard
  • Lucas Hernández 84' yellowcard
  • Senny Mayulu 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Harry Kane 17'
  • yellowcard Harry Kane 18'
  • goal Michael Olise 41'
  • yellowcard Konrad Laimer 46'
  • goal Dayot Upamecano 65'
  • goal Luis Díaz 68'
  • yellowcard Leon Goretzka 79'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Jackson 90'+3'
Champions League
Nov 4, 2025 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Club World Cup
Jul 5, 2025 5.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Champions League
Nov 26, 2024 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Allianz Arena
  • Kim Min-jae 38' goal
  • Kingsley Coman 67' yellowcard
  • Michael Olise 77' yellowcard
  • Serge Gnabry 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ousmane Dembele 37'
  • redcard Ousmane Dembele 57'
  • yellowcard Achraf Hakimi 57'
  • yellowcard Nuno Mendes 71'
  • yellowcard Fabian Ruiz 90'+5'
Champions League
Mar 8, 2023 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 61' goal
  • Serge Gnabry 89' goal
Champions League
Feb 14, 2023 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Kingsley Coman 53'