Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 65.96%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 14.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.4%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.04%) , while for a Mainz 05 win it was 1-0 (4.79%).