Bundesliga Gameweek 31
Apr 25, 2026 2.30pm
Mewa Arena

Mainz 05 vs Bayern Munich - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Mainz 05

All competitions
Last game
Apr 19, 2026 6.30pm
Borussia M'bach 1 - 1 Mainz
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Paul Nebel

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Last game
Apr 19, 2026 4.30pm
Bayern 4 - 2 Stuttgart
Goals scored
109
Top scorer
Harry Kane

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 66.46%. A draw has a probability of 19.37% and a win for Mainz 05 has a probability of 14.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win is 0-2 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (10.87%) and 1-2 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.97%) , while for a Mainz 05 win it is 1-0 (4.57%).

Result

Mainz 05 14.17%
Draw 19.37%
Bayern Munich 66.46%

Both Teams to Score: 

50.02%

Goals

Over 1.5 78.57%
Under 1.5 21.43%
Over 2.5 55.56%
Under 2.5 44.44%
Over 3.5 33.45%
Under 3.5 66.55%
Over 4.5 22.68%
Under 4.5 77.32%

First Half Winner

Mainz 05 19.12%
Draw 34.44%
Bayern Munich 46.43%

Team To Score First

Mainz 05 32.85%
No Goal 6%
Bayern Munich 61.15%

Corners

Over 8 60.46%
Equal 8 11.09%
Under 8 28.45%
Over 9 48.93%
Equal 9 11.53%
Under 9 39.54%
Over 10.5 37.92%
Under 10.5 62.08%

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 1.5 17.54%
Under 1.5 82.46%
Over 2.5 4.66%
Under 2.5 95.34%
Over 3.5 1.09%
Under 3.5 98.91%

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5 85.79%
Under 0.5 14.21%
Over 1.5 61.07%
Under 1.5 38.93%
Over 2.5 34.5%
Under 2.5 65.5%
Over 3.5 16.24%
Under 3.5 83.76%

Score analysis

Mainz 05 14.17%
Draw 19.37%
Bayern Munich 66.47%
Mainz 05
1-0 @ 4.57%
2-1 @ 3.78%
2-0 @ 1.96%
3-1 @ 1.1%
3-2 @ 1.07%
Other @ 1.06%
Total : 14.17%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.97%
0-0 @ 6%
2-2 @ 3.6%
Other @ 0.03%
Total : 19.37%
Bayern Munich
0-2 @ 12.08%
0-1 @ 10.87%
1-2 @ 9.82%
0-3 @ 7.88%
1-3 @ 6.07%
2-3 @ 3.54%
Other @ 16.21%
Total : 66.47%

Head to Head

Bundesliga
Dec 14, 2025 4.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Lennart Karl 29' goal
  • Konrad Laimer 77' yellowcard
  • Alphonso Davies 83' yellowcard
  • Harry Kane 87' goal
  • goal Kacper Potulski 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Danny da Costa 50'
  • goal Lee Jae-sung 67'
  • yellowcard Kacper Potulski 86'
Bundesliga Gameweek 31
Apr 26, 2025 2.30pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Allianz Arena
  • Leroy Sane 27' goal
  • Michael Olise 40' goal
  • Harry Kane 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Eric Dier 84' goal
  • Konrad Laimer 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Phillipp Mwene 36'
  • yellowcard Nadiem Amiri 89'
Bundesliga Gameweek 14
Dec 14, 2024 2.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Mewa Arena
  • Lee Jae-sung 41' goal
  • Dominik Kohr 49' yellowcard
  • Lee Jae-sung 60' goal
  • Phillipp Mwene 90' yellowcard
  • Nadiem Amiri 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joshua Kimmich 78'
  • goal Leroy Sane 87'
  • yellowcard Konrad Laimer 90'+5'
DFB-Pokal
Oct 30, 2024 7.45pm
0
4
HT : 0 4
FT Mewa Arena
  • Dominik Kohr 20' yellowcard
  • Paul Nebel 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Moritz Jenz 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Paul Nebel 64' yellowcard
  • goal Jamal Musiala 2'
  • goal Jamal Musiala 37'
  • yellowcard Konrad Laimer 43'
  • goal Leroy Sane 45'+1'
  • goal Jamal Musiala 45'+4'
Bundesliga Gameweek 25
Mar 9, 2024 2.30pm
8
1
HT : 3 1
FT Allianz Arena
  • Konrad Laimer 5' yellowcard
  • Harry Kane 13' goal
  • Leon Goretzka 19' goal
  • Thomas Muller 47' goal
  • Harry Kane 45'+7' goal
  • Jamal Musiala 61' goal
  • Serge Gnabry 66' goal
  • Harry Kane 70' goal
  • Leon Goretzka 90'+2' goal
  • goal Nadiem Amiri 31'
  • yellowcard Silvan Widmer 84'
Bundesliga Gameweek 8
Oct 21, 2023 5.30pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT OPEL ARENA
  • Anthony Caci 43' goal
  • Ludovic Ajorque 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Dominik Kohr 49' yellowcard
  • Stefan Bell 65' yellowcard
  • goal Kingsley Coman 11'
  • goal Harry Kane 16'
  • yellowcard Matthijs de Ligt 27'
  • goal Leon Goretzka 59'
  • yellowcard Konrad Laimer 90'+1'