Champions League
Real Madrid
Apr 7, 2026 8.00pm
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Bayern

Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions

Bayern Munich

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Real Madrid win with a probability of 39.91%. A win for Bayern Munich has a probability of 38.49% and a draw has a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win is 2-1 with a probability of 7.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (5.77%) and 2-0 (4.79%). The likeliest Bayern Munich win is 1-2 (7.93%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.69%).

Result

Real Madrid 39.91% ▼ (-0.25)
Draw 21.6% ▼ (-0.13)
Bayern Munich 38.49% ▲ (+0.42)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.77% ▲ (+0.57)

Goals

Over 1.5 85.54% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 1.5 14.46% ▼ (-0.19)
Over 2.5 66.85% ▲ (+0.54)
Under 2.5 33.15% ▼ (-0.54)
Over 3.5 45.56% ▲ (+0.83)
Under 3.5 54.44% ▼ (-0.79)
Over 4.5 30.46% ▲ (+0.82)
Under 4.5 69.54% ▼ (-0.81)

First Half Winner

Real Madrid 32.72% ▼ (-0.43)
Draw 37.16% ▲ (+0.28)
Bayern Munich 30.13% ▲ (+0.15)

Team To Score First

Real Madrid 47.58% ▼ (-1.22)
No Goal 3.39% ▼ (-0.07)
Bayern Munich 49.03% ▲ (+1.28)

Corners

Over 8 62.82% ▲ (+2.08)
Equal 8 10.4% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 8 26.78% ▼ (-2.11)
Over 9 51.81% ▲ (+1.86)
Equal 9 11.02% ▲ (+0.21)
Under 9 37.18% ▼ (-2.08)
Over 10.5 41.05% ▲ (+1.52)
Under 10.5 58.95% ▼ (-1.52)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 1.5 47.67% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 1.5 52.33% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 2.5 24.78% ▲ (+0.27)
Under 2.5 75.22% ▼ (-0.27)
Over 3.5 10.71% ▲ (+0.21)
Under 3.5 89.29% ▼ (-0.20)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5 72.84% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 0.5 27.16% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 1.5 46.61% ▲ (+0.64)
Under 1.5 53.39% ▼ (-0.64)
Over 2.5 23.09% ▲ (+0.61)
Under 2.5 76.91% ▼ (-0.61)
Over 3.5 9.97% ▲ (+0.33)
Under 3.5 90.03% ▼ (-0.32)

Score analysis

Real Madrid 39.91%
Draw 21.59%
Bayern Munich 38.49%
Real Madrid
2-1 @ 7.61% ▼ (-0.20)
1-0 @ 5.77% ▼ (-0.10)
2-0 @ 4.79% ▼ (-0.13)
3-1 @ 4.64% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 3.9% ▲ (+0.09)
3-0 @ 3.08% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 10.12% ▲ (+0.18)
Total : 39.91%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.69% ▼ (-0.21)
2-2 @ 6.47% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.39% ▼ (-0.07)
3-3 @ 2.45% ▲ (+0.10)
Other @ 0.59% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 21.59%
Bayern Munich
1-2 @ 7.93% ▼ (-0.08)
0-1 @ 5.29% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 5.22% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 4.02% ▲ (+0.14)
1-3 @ 3.99% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 2.66% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 9.38% ▲ (+0.31)
Total : 38.49%

Head to Head

Champions League
Real Madrid
May 8, 2024 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Bayern
  • Joselu 88' goal
  • Joselu 90'+1' goal
  • Eduardo Camavinga 90'+11' yellowcard
  • goal Alphonso Davies 68'
  • yellowcard Thomas Tuchel 90'+7'
Champions League
Bayern
Apr 30, 2024 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Allianz Arena
Real Madrid
  • Noussair Mazraoui 46' yellowcard
  • Leroy Sane 50' goal
  • Harry Kane 62' goal
  • Kim Min-jae 72' yellowcard
  • goal Vinicius Junior 29'
  • yellowcard Toni Kroos 67'
  • yellowcard Lucas Vazquez 85'+1'
  • goal Vinicius Junior 89'
Pre-Season Friendlies
Bayern
Jul 21, 2019 1.00am
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Real Madrid
  • Corentin Tolisso 15' goal
  • Joshua Kimmich 51' yellowcard
  • Robert Lewandowski 67' goal
  • Serge Gnabry 69' goal
  • Sven Ulreich 81' redcard
  • Leon Goretzka 92' yellowcard
  • goal Rodrygo 84'
Champions League
Real Madrid
May 1, 2018 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabéu (Madrid)
Bayern
  • Karim Benzema 11' goal
  • Karim Benzema 46' goal
  • Luka Modric 62' yellowcard
  • Lucas Vazquez 65' yellowcard
  • Raphael Varane 88' yellowcard
  • Casemiro 89' yellowcard
  • goal Joshua Kimmich 3'
  • goal James Rodriguez 63'
Champions League
Bayern
Apr 25, 2018 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Allianz Arena (München)
Real Madrid
  • Joshua Kimmich 28' goal
  • Franck Ribery 52' yellowcard
  • Thiago Alcantara 89' yellowcard
  • goal Marcelo 44'
  • goal Marco Asensio 57'
  • yellowcard Casemiro 78'
Champions League
Real Madrid
Apr 18, 2017 7.45pm
4
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Bayern
  • Casemiro 40' yellowcard
  • Cristiano Ronaldo 76' goal
  • Cristiano Ronaldo 104' goal
  • Cristiano Ronaldo 110' goal
  • Marco Asensio 112' goal
  • yellowcard Arturo Vidal 6'
  • goal Robert Lewandowski 53'
  • yellowcard Xabi Alonso 70'
  • yellowcard Mats Hummels 75'
  • goal Sergio Ramos 77' (OG)
  • redcard Arturo Vidal 84'
  • yellowcard Arjen Robben 101'

Form Data

Mallorca 2 - 1 Real Madrid
Real Madrid 3 - 2 Atletico
Man City 1 - 2 Real Madrid
Real Madrid 4 - 1 Elche
Real Madrid 3 - 0 Man City
Celta Vigo 1 - 2 Real Madrid
Freiburg 2 - 3 Bayern
Bayern 4 - 0 Union Berlin
Bayern 4 - 1 Atalanta
B. Leverkusen 1 - 1 Bayern
Atalanta 1 - 6 Bayern
Bayern 4 - 1 Borussia M'bach

Build-up

News