Bundesliga Gameweek 27
Bayern
Mar 21, 2026 2.30pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Allianz Arena
Union Berlin
  • Michael Olise 43' goal
  • Serge Gnabry 45'+1' goal
  • Harry Kane 49' goal
  • Tom Bischof 61' yellowcard
  • Raphaël Guerreiro 61' yellowcard
  • Serge Gnabry 67' goal
  • Hiroki Ito 71' yellowcard
  • Maycon Cardozo 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andrej Ilic 46'
  • yellowcard Tom Rothe 46'
  • yellowcard Alex Král 61'
  • yellowcard Woo-yeong Jeong 61'
  • yellowcard Josip Juranovic 76'

Bayern Munich vs Union Berlin - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Last game
Mar 14, 2026 2.30pm
B. Leverkusen 1 - 1 Bayern
Goals scored
97
Top scorer
Harry Kane

Union Berlin

All competitions
Last game
Mar 15, 2026 4.30pm
Freiburg 0 - 1 Union Berlin
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Rani Khedira

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 74.04%. A draw had a probability of 16.48% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 9.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.14%) and 3-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.23%) , while for a Union Berlin win it was 0-1 (3.16%).

Result

Bayern Munich 74.04%
Draw 16.48% ▼ (-0.04)
Union Berlin 9.46% ▲ (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.91% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.63% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 19.37% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 2.5 60.15% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 39.85% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 40.34% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 59.66% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 4.5 29.14% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 70.86% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Bayern Munich 45.45% ▼ (-0.08)
Draw 35.28% ▲ (+0.08)
Union Berlin 19.28% ▲ (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Bayern Munich 63.72% ▼ (-0.04)
No Goal 5.06% ▼ (-0.03)
Union Berlin 31.22% ▲ (+0.06)

Corners

Over 8 59.78% ▲ (+0.14)
Equal 8 10.76% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 29.46% ▼ (-0.12)
Over 9 48.65% ▲ (+0.13)
Equal 9 11.13% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 40.22% ▼ (-0.14)
Over 10.5 38.03% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 10.5 61.97% ▼ (-0.13)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 1.5 68.1% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 31.9% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 43.14%
Under 2.5 56.86%
Over 3.5 23.04%
Under 3.5 76.96%

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5 39.66% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 60.34% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 13.78% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 86.22% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 3.84% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 96.16% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 1.13%
Under 3.5 98.87%

Score analysis

Bayern Munich 74.04%
Draw 16.48%
Union Berlin 9.47%
Bayern Munich
2-0 @ 12.08% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 11.14% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 9.1% ▼ (-0.04)
2-1 @ 8.54% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.95% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.28% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 22.95% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 74.04%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.23% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.06% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 3.33% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.09% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 16.48%
Union Berlin
0-1 @ 3.16%
1-2 @ 2.18% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 1.15%
2-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.04% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 9.47%

Head to Head

DFB-Pokal
Union Berlin
Dec 3, 2025 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 1 3
FT
Bayern
  • Leopold Querfeld 40' goal
  • Leopold Querfeld 55' goal
  • Ilyas Ansah 80' yellowcard
  • Aljoscha Kemlein 87' yellowcard
  • Livan Burcu 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Ilyas Ansah 12' (OG)
  • goal Harry Kane 24'
  • goal Diogo Leite 45'+4' (OG)
  • yellowcard Harry Kane 54'
  • yellowcard Vincent Kompany 55'
  • yellowcard Vincent Kompany 55'
  • yellowcard Dayot Upamecano 81'
  • yellowcard Manuel Neuer 90'+1'
Bundesliga
Union Berlin
Nov 8, 2025 2.30pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Bayern
Bundesliga Gameweek 26
Union Berlin
Mar 15, 2025 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion An der Alten Forsterei
Bayern
  • Josip Juranovic 58' yellowcard
  • Benedict Hollerbach 83' goal
  • yellowcard Jamal Musiala 53'
  • goal Leroy Sane 75'
  • yellowcard Joshua Kimmich 80'
Bundesliga Gameweek 9
Bayern
Nov 2, 2024 2.30pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Allianz Arena
Union Berlin
  • Harry Kane 15' goal
  • Kingsley Coman 43' goal
  • Harry Kane 51' goal
  • yellowcard Aljoscha Kemlein 31'
  • yellowcard Rani Khedira 84'
Bundesliga Gameweek 30
Union Berlin
Apr 20, 2024 5.30pm
1
5
HT : 0 2
FT Stadion An der Alten Forsterei
Bayern
  • Nenad Bjelica 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Yorbe Vertessen 90' goal
  • goal Leon Goretzka 29'
  • goal Harry Kane 45'+1'
  • goal Thomas Muller 53'
  • goal Mathys Tel 61'
  • goal Thomas Muller 66'
Bundesliga Gameweek 13
Bayern
Jan 24, 2024 7.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Allianz Arena
Union Berlin
  • Raphael Guerreiro 46' goal
  • Leroy Sane 74' yellowcard
  • Harry Kane 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kevin Behrens 48'
  • redcard Nenad Bjelica 74'
  • yellowcard Janik Haberer 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Kevin Vogt 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Diogo Leite 90'+5'

Form Data

Bayern 4 - 1 Atalanta
B. Leverkusen 1 - 1 Bayern
Atalanta 1 - 6 Bayern
Bayern 4 - 1 Borussia M'bach
Dortmund 2 - 3 Bayern
Bayern 3 - 2 Frankfurt
Freiburg 0 - 1 Union Berlin
Union Berlin 1 - 4 Werder Bremen
Borussia M'bach 1 - 0 Union Berlin
Union Berlin 1 - 0 B. Leverkusen
Hamburger SV 3 - 2 Union Berlin
Union Berlin 1 - 1 Frankfurt