Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 41.6%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 33.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-0 (7.7%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.