Bundesliga
Freiburg
Mar 15, 2026 4.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Europa-Park Stadion
Union Berlin
  • Yuito Suzuki 61' yellowcard
  • Niklas Beste 77' yellowcard
  • Vincenzo Grifo 77' yellowcard
  • Christian Günter 86' yellowcard
  • Christian Günter 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alex Král 64'
  • yellowcard Woo-yeong Jeong 64'
  • yellowcard Alex Král 65'
  • yellowcard Aljoscha Kemlein 79'
  • yellowcard Josip Juranovic 79'
  • yellowcard Aljoscha Kemlein 80'
  • yellowcard Tom Rothe 87'
  • goal Woo-yeong Jeong 90'+2'

Freiburg vs Union Berlin - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions
Last game
Mar 7, 2026 2.30pm
Freiburg 3 - 3 B. Leverkusen
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Igor Matanovic

Union Berlin

All competitions
Last game
Mar 8, 2026 4.30pm
Union Berlin 1 - 4 Werder Bremen
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Rani Khedira

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 52.87%. A draw had a probability of 23.86% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 23.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%) , while for a Union Berlin win it was 0-1 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result

Freiburg 52.87% ▼ (-0.11)
Draw 23.86% ▲ (+0.04)
Union Berlin 23.26% ▲ (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.15% ▼ (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.35% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 1.5 23.65% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 2.5 52.72% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 2.5 47.28% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 3.5 30.42% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 3.5 69.58% ▲ (+0.21)
Over 4.5 17.68% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 4.5 82.32% ▲ (+0.15)

First Half Winner

Freiburg 34.6%
Draw 40.51% ▲ (+0.01)
Union Berlin 24.9%

Team To Score First

Freiburg 51.67% ▼ (-0.04)
No Goal 6.32% ▲ (+0.05)
Union Berlin 42.01% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 55.44% ▼ (-0.20)
Equal 8 11.7% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 8 32.86% ▲ (+0.16)
Over 9 43.74% ▼ (-0.20)
Equal 9 11.7% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 44.56% ▲ (+0.20)
Over 10.5 32.99% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 10.5 67.01% ▲ (+0.21)

Freiburg Goals

Over 1.5 50.08% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 1.5 49.92% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 2.5 24.22% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 2.5 75.78% ▲ (+0.16)
Over 3.5 9.44% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 3.5 90.56% ▲ (+0.08)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5 58.93% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 0.5 41.07% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 1.5 26.19% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 73.81% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 8.82% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 91.18% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 2.58% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 97.42% ▲ (+0.05)

Score analysis

Freiburg 52.87%
Draw 23.86%
Union Berlin 23.27%
Freiburg
1-0 @ 10.96% ▲ (+0.04)
2-1 @ 9.75% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 9.12% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 5.44% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 5.36% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.93% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 9.31% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 52.87%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.18% ▲ (+0.07)
0-0 @ 6.32% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.18% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.13% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 23.86%
Union Berlin
0-1 @ 6.37% ▲ (+0.08)
1-2 @ 5.93% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.33% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.12% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.81% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.45% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 23.27%

Head to Head

Bundesliga
Union Berlin
Nov 1, 2025 2.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Freiburg
Bundesliga Gameweek 27
Freiburg
Mar 30, 2025 2.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Schwarzwald-Stadion
Union Berlin
  • Lucas Holer 29' goal
  • Matthias Ginter 76' yellowcard
  • Johan Manzambi 89' yellowcard
  • Eren Dinkci 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Rani Khedira 30'
  • goal Andrej Ilic 48'
  • yellowcard Rani Khedira 68'
  • yellowcard Andrej Ilic 81'
  • yellowcard Andras Schafer 88'
  • yellowcard Josip Juranovic 89'
Bundesliga Gameweek 10
Union Berlin
Nov 8, 2024 7.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion An der Alten Forsterei
Freiburg
  • Rani Khedira 19' yellowcard
  • Kevin Vogt 56' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Julian Schuster 90'+2'
Bundesliga Gameweek 34
Union Berlin
May 18, 2024 2.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion An der Alten Forsterei
Freiburg
  • Robin Knoche 52' yellowcard
  • Christopher Trimmel 67' yellowcard
  • Benedict Hollerbach 68' goal
  • Josip Juranovic 70' yellowcard
  • Robin Gosens 75' yellowcard
  • Janik Haberer 85' yellowcard
  • Janik Haberer 90'+2' goal
  • Aissa Laidouni 90'+7' yellowcard
  • Kevin Volland 90'+8' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jordy Makengo 37'
  • yellowcard Ritsu Doan 54'
  • yellowcard Lukas Kubler 75'
  • goal Ritsu Doan 85'
  • yellowcard Maximilian Eggestein 90'+1'
Bundesliga Gameweek 17
Freiburg
Jan 13, 2024 2.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Schwarzwald-Stadion
Union Berlin
  • yellowcard Brenden Aaronson 50'
  • yellowcard Frederik Ronnow 90'+5'
Bundesliga Gameweek 32
Union Berlin
May 13, 2023 2.30pm
4
2
HT : 3 0
FT
Freiburg
  • Kevin Behrens 5' goal
  • Sheraldo Becker 36' goal
  • Sheraldo Becker 38' goal
  • Aissa Laidouni 80' goal
  • goal Manuel Gulde 56'
  • goal Vincenzo Grifo 70'

Form Data

Genk 1 - 0 Freiburg
Freiburg 3 - 3 B. Leverkusen
Frankfurt 2 - 0 Freiburg
Freiburg 2 - 1 Borussia M'bach
Hoffenheim 3 - 0 Freiburg
Hertha Berlin 1 - 1 Freiburg
Union Berlin 1 - 4 Werder Bremen
Borussia M'bach 1 - 0 Union Berlin
Union Berlin 1 - 0 B. Leverkusen
Hamburger SV 3 - 2 Union Berlin
Union Berlin 1 - 1 Frankfurt
Hoffenheim 3 - 1 Union Berlin