Europa League
Mar 12, 2026 8.00pm
Luminus Arena

Genk vs Freiburg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Genk

All competitions

Freiburg

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Genk win with a probability of 53.46%. A draw has a probability of 23.64% and a win for Freiburg has a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genk win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.92%) , while for a Freiburg win it is 0-1 (6.33%).

Result

Genk 53.46%
Draw 23.64%
Freiburg 22.9% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.63% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.87% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 23.13% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 53.94% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 46.06% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 31.57% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 68.43% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 18.71% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 81.29% (+0.03)

First Half Winner

Genk 36.94%
Draw 41%
Freiburg 22.06%

Team To Score First

Genk 58.27%
No Goal 6.21% (+0.01)
Freiburg 35.52% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 61.68%
Equal 8 10.63%
Under 8 27.68% (-0.02)
Over 9 50.52%
Equal 9 11.16%
Under 9 38.32%
Over 10.5 39.73% (+0.01)
Under 10.5 60.27% (-0.01)

Genk Goals

Over 1.5 51.16% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 48.84% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 25.49% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 74.51% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 10.23% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 89.77% (+0.01)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5 59.06% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 40.94% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 26.29% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 73.71% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 8.74%
Under 2.5 91.26%
Over 3.5 2.53%
Under 3.5 97.47%

Score analysis

Genk 53.45%
Draw 23.64%
Freiburg 22.91%
Genk
1-0 @ 10.59% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.95% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 8.7%
3-1 @ 5.57% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.37%
3-2 @ 3.2% (-0.01)
Other @ 10.07% (-0.01)
Total : 53.45%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.92% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.21% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.23%
3-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.64%
Freiburg
0-1 @ 6.33%
1-2 @ 5.81%
0-2 @ 3.31% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.07%
2-3 @ 1.79%
0-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 22.91%