Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 44.46%. A win for Dinamo Zagreb had a probability of 32.85% and a draw had a probability of 22.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.64%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Dinamo Zagreb win was 1-2 (7.18%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.