Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Zagreb win with a probability of 69.31%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Vukovar had a probability of 11.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Zagreb win was 2-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.59%) and 2-1 (10.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.96%) , while for a Vukovar win it was 0-1 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.