Belgian Pro League Gameweek 23
Feb 1, 2026 3.00pm
Van Roystadion

Dender vs Genk - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Dender

All competitions
Belgian Pro League
Last game
Jan 25, 2026 5.30pm
Anderlecht 0 - 0 Dender
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
Bruny Nsimba

Genk

All competitions
Belgian Pro League
Last game
Jan 25, 2026 3.00pm
Genk 0 - 0 Cercle Brugge
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Daan Heymans

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Genk win with a probability of 53.92%. A draw has a probability of 24.01% and a win for Dender has a probability of 22.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genk win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.64%) and 0-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.98%) , while for a Dender win it is 1-0 (6.79%).

Result

Dender 22.06% (+0.60)
Draw 24.01% (-0.10)
Genk 53.92% (-0.43)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.17% (+1.00)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.57% (+0.81)
Under 1.5 25.43% (-0.81)
Over 2.5 50.76% (+0.97)
Under 2.5 49.24% (-0.97)
Over 3.5 29.1% (+0.81)
Under 3.5 70.9% (-0.80)
Over 4.5 16.49% (+0.47)
Under 4.5 83.51% (-0.47)

First Half Winner

Dender 20.66%
Draw 38.32%
Genk 41.03%

Team To Score First

Dender 33.75% (+0.11)
No Goal 6.98% (-0.32)
Genk 59.27% (+0.22)

Corners

Over 8 48.58%
Equal 8 12.23%
Under 8 39.19%
Over 9 37%
Equal 9 11.58%
Under 9 51.42%
Over 10.5 26.92%
Under 10.5 73.08%

Dender Goals

Over 1.5 24.15% (+0.93)
Under 1.5 75.85% (-0.94)
Over 2.5 7.6% (+0.43)
Under 2.5 92.4% (-0.43)
Over 3.5 1.93% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 98.07% (-0.16)

Genk Goals

Over 0.5 80.03% (+0.13)
Under 0.5 19.97% (-0.13)
Over 1.5 49.89% (+0.25)
Under 1.5 50.11% (-0.25)
Over 2.5 24.18% (+0.20)
Under 2.5 75.82% (-0.21)
Over 3.5 9.33% (+0.12)
Under 3.5 90.67% (-0.13)

Score analysis

Dender 22.06%
Draw 24.01%
Genk 53.92%
Dender
1-0 @ 6.79% (-0.05)
2-1 @ 5.46% (+0.17)
2-0 @ 3.3% (+0.09)
3-1 @ 2.05% (+0.10)
3-2 @ 1.57% (+0.09)
3-0 @ 1.09% (+0.07)
Other @ 1.8% (+0.15)
Total : 22.06%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.98% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.98% (-0.32)
2-2 @ 4.96% (+0.17)
Other @ 0.13% (+0.02)
Total : 24.01%
Genk
0-1 @ 11.65% (-0.41)
1-2 @ 9.64% (+0.06)
0-2 @ 9.54% (-0.25)
1-3 @ 5.58% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 5.48% (-0.10)
2-3 @ 2.83% (+0.09)
Other @ 9.2% (+0.11)
Total : 53.92%

Head to Head

Belgian Pro League
Oct 5, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 29
Mar 8, 2025 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 1 0
FT Van Roystadion
  • 1' goal
  • Gilles Ruyssen 90'+9' yellowcard
  • goal Hyun-Gyu Oh 90'+10'
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 8
Sep 22, 2024 5.30pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Luminus Arena
  • Tolu Arokodare 23' goal
  • Christopher Baah 53' goal
  • Patrik Hrosovsky 76' goal
  • Hyun-Gyu Oh 83' goal
  • yellowcard Kobe Cools 55'
  • yellowcard Gilles Ruyssen 68'