Europa League Gameweek 8
Jan 29, 2026 8.00pm
Luminus Arena

Genk vs Malmo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Genk

All competitions
Last game
Jan 22, 2026 8.00pm
Utrecht 0 - 2 Genk

Malmo

All competitions
Last game
Jan 22, 2026 5.45pm
Malmo 0 - 1 Red Star

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Genk win with a probability of 51.64%. A win for Malmo has a probability of 25.78% and a draw has a probability of 22.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genk win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Malmo win is 0-1 (6.44%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.31%).

Result

Genk 51.64% (+0.51)
Draw 22.54% (+0.06)
Malmo 25.78% (-0.58)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.08% (-0.36)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.29% (-0.12)
Under 1.5 22.71% (+0.13)
Over 2.5 55.22% (-0.15)
Under 2.5 44.78% (+0.15)
Over 3.5 33.15% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 66.85% (+0.10)
Over 4.5 20.37%
Under 4.5 79.63%

First Half Winner

Genk 41.68% (+0.43)
Draw 37.17% (+0.15)
Malmo 21.15% (-0.59)

Team To Score First

Genk 58.75% (+0.55)
No Goal 6.27% (+0.06)
Malmo 34.98% (-0.62)

Corners

Over 8 52.62% (-0.18)
Equal 8 11.2% (+0.02)
Under 8 36.18% (+0.16)
Over 9 41.65% (-0.18)
Equal 9 10.97%
Under 9 47.38% (+0.18)
Over 10.5 31.72% (-0.18)
Under 10.5 68.28% (+0.18)

Genk Goals

Over 1.5 49.81% (+0.36)
Under 1.5 50.19% (-0.36)
Over 2.5 25.46% (+0.32)
Under 2.5 74.54% (-0.31)
Over 3.5 10.92% (+0.19)
Under 3.5 89.08% (-0.19)

Malmo Goals

Over 0.5 59.79% (-0.54)
Under 0.5 40.21% (+0.54)
Over 1.5 28.29% (-0.54)
Under 1.5 71.71% (+0.54)
Over 2.5 10.69% (-0.31)
Under 2.5 89.31% (+0.30)
Over 3.5 3.31% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 96.69% (+0.13)

Score analysis

Genk 51.64%
Draw 22.54%
Malmo 25.79%
Genk
1-0 @ 9.97% (+0.09)
2-1 @ 9.36% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 8.09% (+0.11)
3-1 @ 5.39% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.06% (+0.10)
3-2 @ 2.98%
Other @ 10.79% (+0.16)
Total : 51.64%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.31% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.27% (+0.06)
2-2 @ 4.72% (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.11% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.13% (+0.03)
Total : 22.54%
Malmo
0-1 @ 6.44% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 6.23% (-0.12)
0-2 @ 3.67% (-0.08)
1-3 @ 2.68% (-0.07)
2-3 @ 2.18% (-0.05)
0-3 @ 1.41% (-0.08)
Other @ 3.18% (-0.15)
Total : 25.79%

Head to Head

Europa League Gameweek 5
Nov 29, 2018 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Swedbank Stadion (Malmö)
  • Andreas Vindheim 51' yellowcard
  • Soren Rieks 60' yellowcard
  • Oscar Lewicki 65' goal
  • Marcus Antonsson 67' goal
  • Fouad Bachirou 90' yellowcard
  • goal Alejandro Pozuelo 42'
  • goal Joseph Paintsil 53'
  • yellowcard Jere Uronen 55'
  • yellowcard Dieumerci N'Dongala 70'
Europa League Gameweek 1
Sep 20, 2018 5.55pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Leandro Trossard 37' goal
  • Mbwana Samatta 71' goal
  • yellowcard Behrang Safari 31'
  • yellowcard Arnor Traustason 66'
  • yellowcard Rasmus Bengtsson 78'
  • yellowcard Lasse Nielsen 82'