Europa League
Jan 29, 2026 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Luminus Arena
  • Daan Heymans 45' yellowcard
  • Joris Kayembe 62' yellowcard
  • Aaron Bibout 62' yellowcard
  • Konstantinos Karetsas 62' yellowcard
  • Konstantinos Karetsas 63' yellowcard
  • Yira Sor 72' yellowcard
  • Konstantinos Karetsas 82' goal
  • Robin Mirisola 83' yellowcard
  • goal Taha Ali 4'
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Ekong 61'
  • yellowcard Sead Haksabanovic 61'
  • yellowcard Erik Botheim 73'
  • yellowcard Salifou Soumah 73'
  • yellowcard Oscar Lewicki 81'

Genk vs Malmo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Genk

All competitions
Last game
Jan 22, 2026 8.50pm
Utrecht 0 - 2 Genk

Malmo

All competitions
Last game
Jan 22, 2026 5.45pm
Malmo 0 - 1 Red Star

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 51.16%. A win for Malmo had a probability of 26.32% and a draw had a probability of 22.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Malmo win was 0-1 (6.47%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result

Genk 51.16% (-0.49)
Draw 22.49% (-0.06)
Malmo 26.32% (+0.54)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.39% (+0.32)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.39% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 22.61% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 55.37% (+0.15)
Under 2.5 44.63% (-0.15)
Over 3.5 33.25% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 66.75% (-0.10)
Over 4.5 20.35% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 79.65% (+0.03)

First Half Winner

Genk 41.25% (-0.43)
Draw 37.02% (-0.15)
Malmo 21.73% (+0.59)

Team To Score First

Genk 58.2% (-0.55)
No Goal 6.21% (-0.06)
Malmo 35.59% (+0.62)

Corners

Over 8 52.8% (+0.18)
Equal 8 11.18% (-0.02)
Under 8 36.02% (-0.16)
Over 9 41.83% (+0.18)
Equal 9 10.97%
Under 9 47.2% (-0.18)
Over 10.5 31.89% (+0.18)
Under 10.5 68.11% (-0.18)

Genk Goals

Over 1.5 49.46% (-0.36)
Under 1.5 50.54% (+0.36)
Over 2.5 25.15% (-0.32)
Under 2.5 74.85% (+0.31)
Over 3.5 10.73% (-0.19)
Under 3.5 89.27% (+0.19)

Malmo Goals

Over 0.5 60.28% (+0.50)
Under 0.5 39.72% (-0.50)
Over 1.5 28.79% (+0.50)
Under 1.5 71.21% (-0.50)
Over 2.5 10.97% (+0.29)
Under 2.5 89.03% (-0.29)
Over 3.5 3.42% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 96.58% (-0.11)

Score analysis

Genk 51.17%
Draw 22.47%
Malmo 26.32%
Genk
1-0 @ 9.89% (-0.09)
2-1 @ 9.34% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 7.99% (-0.10)
3-1 @ 5.38% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.96% (-0.10)
3-2 @ 2.98%
Other @ 10.63% (-0.16)
Total : 51.17%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.3% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.21% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 4.76% (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.1% (-0.03)
Total : 22.47%
Malmo
0-1 @ 6.47% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 6.34% (+0.11)
0-2 @ 3.74% (+0.08)
1-3 @ 2.75% (+0.07)
2-3 @ 2.22% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 1.48% (+0.08)
Other @ 3.32% (+0.14)
Total : 26.32%

Head to Head

Europa League Gameweek 5
Nov 29, 2018 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Swedbank Stadion (Malmö)
  • Andreas Vindheim 51' yellowcard
  • Soren Rieks 60' yellowcard
  • Oscar Lewicki 65' goal
  • Marcus Antonsson 67' goal
  • Fouad Bachirou 90' yellowcard
  • goal Alejandro Pozuelo 42'
  • goal Joseph Paintsil 53'
  • yellowcard Jere Uronen 55'
  • yellowcard Dieumerci N'Dongala 70'
Europa League Gameweek 1
Sep 20, 2018 5.55pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Leandro Trossard 37' goal
  • Mbwana Samatta 71' goal
  • yellowcard Behrang Safari 31'
  • yellowcard Arnor Traustason 66'
  • yellowcard Rasmus Bengtsson 78'
  • yellowcard Lasse Nielsen 82'