/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F41%2Fgenlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F46%2Fmallog.png)
-
Daan Heymans
45'
-
Daan Heymans
45'
-
Yaimar Medina
47'
-
Joris Kayembe
62'
-
Aaron Bibout
62'
-
Konstantinos Karetsas
62'
-
Konstantinos Karetsas
63'
-
Yira Sor
72'
-
Konstantinos Karetsas
82'
-
Robin Mirisola
83'
-
Taha Ali
4'
-
Emmanuel Ekong
61'
-
Sead Haksabanovic
61'
-
Kenan Busuladzic
72'
-
Erik Botheim
73'
-
Salifou Soumah
73'
-
Oscar Lewicki
81'
Genk vs Malmo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2025%2F12%2Forange-pictures-konstantinos-karetsas-of-krc-genk-in-action-on-december-4-2025-69539a2a18f31787623350.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 51.16%. A win for Malmo had a probability of 26.32% and a draw had a probability of 22.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Malmo win was 0-1 (6.47%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
Result
Genk
51.16%
▼
(-0.49)
Draw
22.49%
▼
(-0.06)
Malmo
26.32%
▲
(+0.54)
Both Teams to Score:
54.39%
▲
(+0.32)
Goals
Over 1.5
77.39%
▲
(+0.10)
Under 1.5
22.61%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 2.5
55.37%
▲
(+0.15)
Under 2.5
44.63%
▼
(-0.15)
Over 3.5
33.25%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 3.5
66.75%
▼
(-0.10)
Over 4.5
20.35%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 4.5
79.65%
▲
(+0.03)
First Half Winner
Genk
41.25%
▼
(-0.43)
Draw
37.02%
▼
(-0.15)
Malmo
21.73%
▲
(+0.59)
Team To Score First
Genk
58.2%
▼
(-0.55)
No Goal
6.21%
▼
(-0.06)
Malmo
35.59%
▲
(+0.62)
Corners
Over 8
52.8%
▲
(+0.18)
Equal 8
11.18%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 8
36.02%
▼
(-0.16)
Over 9
41.83%
▲
(+0.18)
Equal 9
10.97%
Under 9
47.2%
▼
(-0.18)
Over 10.5
31.89%
▲
(+0.18)
Under 10.5
68.11%
▼
(-0.18)
Genk Goals
Over 1.5
49.46%
▼
(-0.36)
Under 1.5
50.54%
▲
(+0.36)
Over 2.5
25.15%
▼
(-0.32)
Under 2.5
74.85%
▲
(+0.31)
Over 3.5
10.73%
▼
(-0.19)
Under 3.5
89.27%
▲
(+0.19)
Malmo Goals
Over 0.5
60.28%
▲
(+0.50)
Under 0.5
39.72%
▼
(-0.50)
Over 1.5
28.79%
▲
(+0.50)
Under 1.5
71.21%
▼
(-0.50)
Over 2.5
10.97%
▲
(+0.29)
Under 2.5
89.03%
▼
(-0.29)
Over 3.5
3.42%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 3.5
96.58%
▼
(-0.11)
Score analysis
Genk
51.17%
Draw
22.47%
Malmo
26.32%
Genk
1-0
@
9.89%
▼
(-0.09)
2-1 @ 9.34% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 7.99% ▼ (-0.10)
3-1 @ 5.38% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.96% ▼ (-0.10)
3-2 @ 2.98%
Other @ 10.63% ▼ (-0.16)
Total : 51.17%
2-1 @ 9.34% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 7.99% ▼ (-0.10)
3-1 @ 5.38% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.96% ▼ (-0.10)
3-2 @ 2.98%
Other @ 10.63% ▼ (-0.16)
Total : 51.17%
Draw
1-1
@
10.3%
▼
(-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.21% ▼ (-0.06)
2-2 @ 4.76% ▲ (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.1% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 22.47%
0-0 @ 6.21% ▼ (-0.06)
2-2 @ 4.76% ▲ (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.1% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 22.47%
Malmo
0-1
@
6.47%
▲
(+0.03)
1-2 @ 6.34% ▲ (+0.11)
0-2 @ 3.74% ▲ (+0.08)
1-3 @ 2.75% ▲ (+0.07)
2-3 @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 1.48% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 3.32% ▲ (+0.14)
Total : 26.32%
1-2 @ 6.34% ▲ (+0.11)
0-2 @ 3.74% ▲ (+0.08)
1-3 @ 2.75% ▲ (+0.07)
2-3 @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 1.48% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 3.32% ▲ (+0.14)
Total : 26.32%