Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 62.75%. A draw had a probability of 21.33% and a win for Standard Liege had a probability of 15.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.94%) and 2-1 (10.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%) , while for a Standard Liege win it was 0-1 (5.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.