Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 50.87%. A draw had a probability of 26.73% and a win for Standard Liege had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.37%) and 1-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%) , while for a Standard Liege win it was 1-0 (7.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.