Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 47.92%. A win for Charleroi had a probability of 27.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Charleroi win was 0-1 (7.38%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%).