Belgian Cup
Feb 11, 2026 7.30pm
Stade Joseph Mariën

Union SG vs Charleroi - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Union SG

All competitions
Belgian Cup
Last game
Feb 4, 2026 7.30pm
Charleroi 0 - 0 Union SG

Charleroi

All competitions
Belgian Cup
Last game
Feb 4, 2026 7.30pm
Charleroi 0 - 0 Union SG

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Union SG win with a probability of 47.91%. A win for Charleroi has a probability of 27.18% and a draw has a probability of 24.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Charleroi win is 0-1 (7.4%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.94%).

Result

Union SG 47.91%
Draw 24.92% (+0.02)
Charleroi 27.18%

Both Teams to Score: 

51.72%

Goals

Over 1.5 73.71% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 26.29% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 49.4% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 50.6% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 26.91% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 73.09% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 15.19%
Under 4.5 84.81%

First Half Winner

Union SG 36.44%
Draw 42.53% (-0.01)
Charleroi 21.03%

Team To Score First

Union SG 54.73% (-0.05)
No Goal 7.3%
Charleroi 37.97% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 51.51% (+0.01)
Equal 8 12.13%
Under 8 36.37%
Over 9 39.74%
Equal 9 11.77% (+0.01)
Under 9 48.49% (-0.01)
Over 10.5 29.27%
Under 10.5 70.73%

Union SG Goals

Over 1.5 43.82% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 56.18% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 19.64% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 80.36% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 7.21% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 92.79% (-0.01)

Charleroi Goals

Over 0.5 61.33% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 38.67% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 28.05% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 71.95% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 9.63% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 90.37% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 2.75%
Under 3.5 97.25%

Score analysis

Union SG 47.91%
Draw 24.91%
Charleroi 27.17%
Union SG
1-0 @ 11.58% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 9.52%
2-0 @ 8.01% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.58% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.42% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.61%
Other @ 7.19% (+0.02)
Total : 47.91%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.94% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.3%
2-2 @ 4.83% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.02%
Total : 24.91%
Charleroi
0-1 @ 7.4% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 6.62%
0-2 @ 4.36% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.47%
2-3 @ 1.82% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.77%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 27.17%

Head to Head

Belgian Cup
Feb 4, 2026 7.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade du Pays de Charleroi
  • Lewin Blum 67' yellowcard
  • Jakob Napoleon Romsaas 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Vic Chambaere 23'
  • yellowcard Rob Schoofs 61'
  • yellowcard Mohammed Fuseini 62'
  • yellowcard Fedde Leysen 74'
  • yellowcard Raul Florucz 74'
  • yellowcard Raul Florucz 76'
Belgian Pro League
Dec 14, 2025 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Antoine Colassin 81' goal
  • Antoine Bernier 84' yellowcard
  • goal Promise Akinpelu 39'
  • yellowcard Kevin Mac Allister 48'
  • yellowcard Ross Sykes 90'+3'
Belgian Pro League
Oct 18, 2025 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 21
Jan 11, 2025 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Stade du Pays de Charleroi
  • Nikola Stulic 13' goal
  • Jeremy Petris 38' yellowcard
  • Antoine Bernier 49' yellowcard
  • Parfait Guiagon 65' yellowcard
  • Cheick Keita 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Charles Vanhoutte 22'
  • yellowcard Promise Akinpelu 42'
  • goal Alessio Castro-Montes 59'
  • goal Franjo Ivanovic 63'
  • yellowcard Christian Burgess 71'
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 4
Aug 16, 2024 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Joseph Marien (Bruxelles (Brussels))
  • Anthony Moris 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Mohammed Fuseini 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Mohamed Kone 34'
  • yellowcard Cheick Keita 46'
  • yellowcard Etienne Camara 48'
  • yellowcard Jeremy Petris 53'
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 17
Dec 10, 2023 6.15pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT Stade du Pays de Charleroi
  • Jonas Bager 32' yellowcard
  • Youssouph Badji 59' yellowcard
  • Stelios Andreou 62' yellowcard
  • Parfait Guiagon 90'+2' goal
  • goal Mohamed El Amine Amoura 15'
  • yellowcard Koki Machida 38'
  • yellowcard Jean Thierry Lazare 40'
  • goal Casper Terho 50'
  • goal Mohamed El Amine Amoura 65'