Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sint-Truiden win with a probability of 49.44%. A win for Charleroi had a probability of 27.09% and a draw had a probability of 23.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sint-Truiden win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.62%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Charleroi win was 1-2 (6.74%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.