Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 45.5%. A win for Standard Liege had a probability of 28.32% and a draw had a probability of 26.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Standard Liege win was 0-1 (8.91%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.