Belgian Pro League Gameweek 21
Jan 18, 2026 6.15pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stayen Stadion
  • Ilias Sebaoui 9' goal
  • Taiga Hata 80' yellowcard
  • Abdoulaye Sissako 80' yellowcard
  • Ryan Merlen 80' yellowcard
  • Andres Ferrari 84' yellowcard
  • Andrés Ferrari 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi 46'
  • yellowcard Lukasz Lakomy 46'
  • yellowcard Takahiro Akimoto 80'
  • yellowcard Siebe Schrijvers 80'
  • yellowcard Abdoul Karim Traoré 80'
  • yellowcard Abdoul Karim Traoré 81'
  • yellowcard Siebe Schrijvers 81'

Sint-Truiden vs Leuven - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sint-Truiden

All competitions
Belgian Pro League
Last game
Dec 26, 2025 5.30pm
Standard Liege 1 - 2 Sint-Truiden
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Keisuke Goto

Leuven

All competitions
Belgian Pro League
Last game
Dec 27, 2025 3.00pm
La Louviere 0 - 0 Leuven
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sint-Truiden win with a probability of 49.93%. A win for Leuven had a probability of 25.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sint-Truiden win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (9.25%). The likeliest Leuven win was 0-1 (7.68%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.

Result

Sint-Truiden 49.93% (-0.08)
Draw 24.29% (-0.09)
Leuven 25.75% (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.18% (-0.10)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.89% (-0.16)
Under 1.5 27.11% (+0.15)
Over 2.5 48.34% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 51.66% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 26.61% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 73.39% (-0.07)
Over 4.5 14.87% (+0.09)
Under 4.5 85.13% (-0.10)

First Half Winner

Sint-Truiden 35.91% (+0.21)
Draw 39.74% (-0.52)
Leuven 24.35% (+0.32)

Team To Score First

Sint-Truiden 52.86% (-0.25)
No Goal 7.42% (+0.04)
Leuven 39.72% (+0.22)

Corners

Over 8 62.59% (+0.54)
Equal 8 11.2% (-0.06)
Under 8 26.21% (-0.49)
Over 9 50.72% (+0.54)
Equal 9 11.87%
Under 9 37.41% (-0.54)
Over 10.5 39.23% (+0.49)
Under 10.5 60.77% (-0.49)

Sint-Truiden Goals

Over 1.5 45.12% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 54.88% (+0.10)
Over 2.5 20.14%
Under 2.5 79.86%
Over 3.5 7.4% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 92.6% (-0.03)

Leuven Goals

Over 0.5 59.28% (-0.13)
Under 0.5 40.72% (+0.13)
Over 1.5 25.95% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 74.05% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 8.81% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 91.19% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 2.43% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 97.57% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Sint-Truiden 49.93%
Draw 24.31%
Leuven 25.74%
Sint-Truiden
1-0 @ 11.99% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 9.3% (-0.11)
2-0 @ 9.25% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.84% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 4.65% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.51% (+0.02)
Other @ 7.39% (+0.02)
Total : 49.93%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.51% (-0.09)
0-0 @ 7.42% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.63% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 24.31%
Leuven
0-1 @ 7.68% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 6.22% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.78% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.28% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.8% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 1.56% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.42% (+0.03)
Total : 25.74%

Head to Head

Belgian Pro League
Nov 23, 2025 6.15pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 30
Mar 16, 2025 5.30pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT King Power at Den Dreef Stadion
  • Manuel Osifo 9' yellowcard
  • Siebe Schrijvers 13' goal
  • Lequincio Zeefuik 20' yellowcard
  • Oscar Gil 66' goal
  • Siebe Schrijvers 83' goal
  • Oscar Gil 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Visar Musliu 30'
  • yellowcard Rein Van Helden 32'
  • yellowcard Andres Ferrari 38'
  • goal Adriano Bertaccini 44'
  • yellowcard Bilal Brahimi 60'
  • redcard Rein Van Helden 60'
  • goal Adriano Bertaccini 74'
  • yellowcard Louis Patris 77'
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 7
Sep 15, 2024 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion Stayen
  • Adriano Bertaccini 7' yellowcard
  • Rein Van Helden 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Adriano Bertaccini 45'+2' goal
  • Felice Mazzu 67' yellowcard
  • Louis Patris 72' yellowcard
  • Bilal Brahimi 82' goal
  • yellowcard Mathieu Maertens 56'
  • goal Ezechiel Banzuzi 64'
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 9
May 17, 2024 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadion Stayen
  • Eric Junior Bocat 37' yellowcard
  • Fatih Kaya 66' goal
  • Matte Smets 87' yellowcard
  • goal 13'
  • goal Jon Dagur Thorsteinsson 74'
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 4
Apr 20, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT King Power at Den Dreef Stadion
  • Sebastiao Sagrado 59' yellowcard
  • Youssef Maziz 83' goal
  • yellowcard Olivier Dumont 41'
  • yellowcard Wolke Janssens 80'
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 17
Dec 9, 2023 5.15pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadion Stayen
  • Kahveh Zahiroleslam 6' goal
  • goal Jonatan Braut Brunes 18'
  • redcard Sebastiao Sagrado 31'
  • yellowcard Raz Shlomo 57'
  • yellowcard Florian Miguel 66'