Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sint-Truiden win with a probability of 49.93%. A win for Leuven had a probability of 25.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sint-Truiden win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (9.25%). The likeliest Leuven win was 0-1 (7.68%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.