Belgian Cup
Feb 4, 2026 7.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade du Pays de Charleroi
  • Lewin Blum 67' yellowcard
  • Jakob Napoleon Romsaas 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Vic Chambaere 23'
  • yellowcard Rob Schoofs 61'
  • yellowcard Mohammed Fuseini 62'
  • yellowcard Rob Schoofs 62'
  • yellowcard Fedde Leysen 74'
  • yellowcard Raul Florucz 74'
  • yellowcard Raul Florucz 76'

Charleroi vs Union SG - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Charleroi

All competitions

Union SG

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 39.08%. A win for Charleroi had a probability of 34.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Charleroi win was 1-0 (9.54%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result

Charleroi 34.89% (+1.39)
Draw 25.98% (-0.06)
Union SG 39.08% (-1.38)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.04% (-0.85)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.05% (-0.35)
Under 1.5 26.95% (+0.34)
Over 2.5 47.22% (-0.65)
Under 2.5 52.78% (+0.65)
Over 3.5 25.92% (-0.14)
Under 3.5 74.08% (+0.15)
Over 4.5 14.16% (-0.11)
Under 4.5 85.84% (+0.11)

First Half Winner

Charleroi 28.58% (+0.49)
Draw 41.82% (+0.21)
Union SG 29.59% (-0.70)

Team To Score First

Charleroi 43.58% (+1.72)
No Goal 7.75% (+0.16)
Union SG 48.67% (-1.86)

Corners

Over 8 57.4% (+0.79)
Equal 8 11.08% (+0.27)
Under 8 31.52% (-1.06)
Over 9 46.15% (+0.47)
Equal 9 11.25% (+0.33)
Under 9 42.6% (-0.79)
Over 10.5 35.61% (+0.12)
Under 10.5 64.39% (-0.13)

Charleroi Goals

Over 1.5 33.45% (+0.60)
Under 1.5 66.55% (-0.60)
Over 2.5 12.47% (+0.58)
Under 2.5 87.53% (-0.57)
Over 3.5 4.12% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 95.88% (-0.16)

Union SG Goals

Over 0.5 70.33% (-1.05)
Under 0.5 29.67% (+1.06)
Over 1.5 37.36% (-1.18)
Under 1.5 62.64% (+1.18)
Over 2.5 14.2% (-0.94)
Under 2.5 85.8% (+0.93)
Over 3.5 4.71% (-0.21)
Under 3.5 95.29% (+0.22)

Score analysis

Charleroi 34.89%
Draw 26%
Union SG 39.08%
Charleroi
1-0 @ 9.54% (+0.36)
2-1 @ 7.68% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 5.9% (+0.25)
3-1 @ 3.09% (+0.19)
3-0 @ 2.34% (+0.12)
3-2 @ 2.23% (+0.25)
Other @ 4.11% (+0.17)
Total : 34.89%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.57% (+0.08)
0-0 @ 7.75% (+0.16)
2-2 @ 4.98% (-0.10)
Other @ 0.01% (-0.01)
Total : 26%
Union SG
0-1 @ 9.63% (-0.19)
1-2 @ 8.6% (-0.39)
0-2 @ 7.35% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.7% (-0.10)
0-3 @ 2.68% (-0.32)
2-3 @ 2.42% (-0.17)
Other @ 4.7% (-0.21)
Total : 39.08%

Head to Head

Belgian Pro League
Dec 14, 2025 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Antoine Colassin 81' goal
  • Antoine Bernier 84' yellowcard
  • goal Promise Akinpelu 39'
  • yellowcard Kevin Mac Allister 48'
  • yellowcard Ross Sykes 90'+3'
Belgian Pro League
Oct 18, 2025 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 21
Jan 11, 2025 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Stade du Pays de Charleroi
  • Nikola Stulic 13' goal
  • Jeremy Petris 38' yellowcard
  • Antoine Bernier 49' yellowcard
  • Parfait Guiagon 65' yellowcard
  • Cheick Keita 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Charles Vanhoutte 22'
  • yellowcard Promise Akinpelu 42'
  • goal Alessio Castro-Montes 59'
  • goal Franjo Ivanovic 63'
  • yellowcard Christian Burgess 71'
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 4
Aug 16, 2024 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Joseph Marien (Bruxelles (Brussels))
  • Anthony Moris 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Mohammed Fuseini 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Mohamed Kone 34'
  • yellowcard Cheick Keita 46'
  • yellowcard Etienne Camara 48'
  • yellowcard Jeremy Petris 53'
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 17
Dec 10, 2023 6.15pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT Stade du Pays de Charleroi
  • Jonas Bager 32' yellowcard
  • Youssouph Badji 59' yellowcard
  • Stelios Andreou 62' yellowcard
  • Parfait Guiagon 90'+2' goal
  • goal Mohamed El Amine Amoura 15'
  • yellowcard Koki Machida 38'
  • yellowcard Jean Thierry Lazare 40'
  • goal Casper Terho 50'
  • goal Mohamed El Amine Amoura 65'
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 9
Oct 1, 2023 12.30pm
3
1
HT : 3 1
FT Stade Joseph Marien
  • Ross Sykes 17' goal
  • Christian Burgess 45' goal
  • Ross Sykes 45'+4' goal
  • Christian Burgess 64' yellowcard
  • goal Parfait Guiagon 28'
  • yellowcard Damien Marcq 55'
  • yellowcard Marco Ilaimaharitra 86'