Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 39.08%. A win for Charleroi had a probability of 34.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Charleroi win was 1-0 (9.54%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.