Belgian Cup
Feb 4, 2026 7.30pm
Stade du Pays de Charleroi

Charleroi vs Union SG - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Charleroi

All competitions

Union SG

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Union SG win with a probability of 40.45%. A win for Charleroi has a probability of 33.51% and a draw has a probability of 26.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Charleroi win is 1-0 (9.18%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.5%).

Result

Charleroi 33.51% (+0.04)
Draw 26.04%
Union SG 40.45%

Both Teams to Score: 

51.88%

Goals

Over 1.5 73.39% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 26.61% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 47.87%
Under 2.5 52.13%
Over 3.5 26.06% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 73.94% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 14.27% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 85.73% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Charleroi 28.09%
Draw 41.62% (-0.09)
Union SG 30.29% (+0.08)

Team To Score First

Charleroi 41.87% (-0.04)
No Goal 7.6% (-0.02)
Union SG 50.53% (+0.06)

Corners

Over 8 56.61%
Equal 8 10.81%
Under 8 32.58%
Over 9 45.69% (+0.01)
Equal 9 10.93%
Under 9 43.39%
Over 10.5 35.49% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 64.51% (-0.01)

Charleroi Goals

Over 1.5 32.86% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 67.14% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 11.9% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 88.1% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 3.97% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 96.03% (-0.02)

Union SG Goals

Over 0.5 71.38% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 28.62% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 38.53%
Under 1.5 61.47%
Over 2.5 15.13% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 84.87% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 4.92%
Under 3.5 95.08%

Score analysis

Charleroi 33.52%
Draw 26.03%
Union SG 40.44%
Charleroi
1-0 @ 9.18% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 7.63%
2-0 @ 5.66% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 2.9%
3-0 @ 2.22%
3-2 @ 1.98% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.95% (+0.02)
Total : 33.52%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.5%
0-0 @ 7.6% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.08%
Other @ 0.02%
Total : 26.03%
Union SG
0-1 @ 9.82% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 8.98% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 7.36%
1-3 @ 3.8% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.99% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.59%
Other @ 4.9%
Total : 40.44%

Head to Head

Belgian Pro League
Dec 14, 2025 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Antoine Colassin 81' goal
  • Antoine Bernier 84' yellowcard
  • goal Promise Akinpelu 39'
  • yellowcard Kevin Mac Allister 48'
  • yellowcard Ross Sykes 90'+3'
Belgian Pro League
Oct 18, 2025 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 21
Jan 11, 2025 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Stade du Pays de Charleroi
  • Nikola Stulic 13' goal
  • Jeremy Petris 38' yellowcard
  • Antoine Bernier 49' yellowcard
  • Parfait Guiagon 65' yellowcard
  • Cheick Keita 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Charles Vanhoutte 22'
  • yellowcard Promise Akinpelu 42'
  • goal Alessio Castro-Montes 59'
  • goal Franjo Ivanovic 63'
  • yellowcard Christian Burgess 71'
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 4
Aug 16, 2024 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Joseph Marien (Bruxelles (Brussels))
  • Anthony Moris 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Mohammed Fuseini 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Mohamed Kone 34'
  • yellowcard Cheick Keita 46'
  • yellowcard Etienne Camara 48'
  • yellowcard Jeremy Petris 53'
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 17
Dec 10, 2023 6.15pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT Stade du Pays de Charleroi
  • Jonas Bager 32' yellowcard
  • Youssouph Badji 59' yellowcard
  • Stelios Andreou 62' yellowcard
  • Parfait Guiagon 90'+2' goal
  • goal Mohamed El Amine Amoura 15'
  • yellowcard Koki Machida 38'
  • yellowcard Jean Thierry Lazare 40'
  • goal Casper Terho 50'
  • goal Mohamed El Amine Amoura 65'
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 9
Oct 1, 2023 12.30pm
3
1
HT : 3 1
FT Stade Joseph Marien
  • Ross Sykes 17' goal
  • Christian Burgess 45' goal
  • Ross Sykes 45'+4' goal
  • Christian Burgess 64' yellowcard
  • goal Parfait Guiagon 28'
  • yellowcard Damien Marcq 55'
  • yellowcard Marco Ilaimaharitra 86'