Belgian Pro League Gameweek 28
Mar 7, 2026 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Joseph Mariën
  • Christian Burgess 15' goal
  • Besfort Zeneli 52' goal
  • Rob Schoofs 75' yellowcard
  • Mateo Biondic 77' yellowcard
  • Ivan Pavlić 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jarne Steuckers 63'
  • yellowcard Ibrahima Bangoura 63'
  • yellowcard Noah Adedeji-Sternberg 63'
  • yellowcard Daan Heymans 68'
  • yellowcard Aaron Bibout 82'
  • yellowcard Yaimar Medina 82'

Union SG vs Genk - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Union SG

All competitions
Belgian Pro League
Last game
Mar 1, 2026 3.00pm
Westerlo 0 - 0 Union SG
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Promise Akinpelu

Genk

All competitions
Belgian Pro League
Last game
Mar 1, 2026 12.30pm
Genk 3 - 0 Gent
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Daan Heymans

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 51.27%. A win for Genk had a probability of 25.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Genk win was 1-2 (6.53%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result

Union SG 51.27% (-0.08)
Draw 23.17% (+0.02)
Genk 25.57% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.68%

Goals

Over 1.5 81.41% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 18.59% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 60.58% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 39.42% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 38.05%
Under 3.5 61.95%
Over 4.5 23.52% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 76.48% (+0.03)

First Half Winner

Union SG 35.87%
Draw 39.72%
Genk 24.41%

Team To Score First

Union SG 57.17% (+0.02)
No Goal 4.71% (-0.01)
Genk 38.12%

Corners

Over 8 48.53% (-0.02)
Equal 8 12.26% (+0.03)
Under 8 39.21% (-0.01)
Over 9 36.91% (-0.06)
Equal 9 11.62% (+0.03)
Under 9 51.47% (+0.02)
Over 10.5 26.8% (-0.08)
Under 10.5 73.2% (+0.08)

Union SG Goals

Over 1.5 53.28% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 46.72% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 27.63% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 72.37% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 11.75% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 88.25% (+0.05)

Genk Goals

Over 0.5 63.49% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 36.51% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 32.21%
Under 1.5 67.79%
Over 2.5 12.38% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 87.62% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 4.11%
Under 3.5 95.89%

Score analysis

Union SG 51.26%
Draw 23.15%
Genk 25.55%
Union SG
2-1 @ 9.88% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.54% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.19% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.75% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.61% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.87%
Other @ 11.42% (-0.03)
Total : 51.26%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.35% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 6.11% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.71% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.65% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.33% (-0.02)
Total : 23.15%
Genk
1-2 @ 6.53%
0-1 @ 5.3% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.32%
1-3 @ 2.65% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.47% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.5% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.78% (+0.01)
Total : 25.55%

Head to Head

Belgian Pro League
Sep 21, 2025 12.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 7
May 3, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Joseph Marien (Bruxelles (Brussels))
  • Charles Vanhoutte 41' yellowcard
  • Promise Akinpelu 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Kamiel Van de Perre 56' yellowcard
  • Kevin Mac Allister 66' yellowcard
  • Christian Burgess 67' goal
  • Christian Burgess 71' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ibrahima Sory Bangoura 43'
  • redcard Ibrahima Sory Bangoura 51'
  • yellowcard Zakaria El Ouahdi 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Bryan Heynen 90'+5'
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 4
Apr 20, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Luminus Arena
  • Zakaria El Ouahdi 40' yellowcard
  • Tolu Arokodare 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Ousseynou Niang 10'
  • yellowcard Kamiel Van de Perre 16'
  • goal Promise Akinpelu 42'
  • goal Promise Akinpelu 50'
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 30
Mar 15, 2025 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Luminus Arena
  • Bryan Heynen 54' yellowcard
  • Tolu Arokodare 69' goal
  • Hyun-Gyu Oh 83' goal
  • goal Anouar Ait El Hadj 89'
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 14
Nov 10, 2024 5.30pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stade Joseph Marien (Bruxelles (Brussels))
  • Loic Lapoussin 4' goal
  • Promise Akinpelu 45' goal
  • Noah Sadiki 51' goal
  • Koki Machida 55' yellowcard
  • Anouar Ait El Hadj 57' yellowcard
  • Promise Akinpelu 64' goal
  • Christian Burgess 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mujaid 51'
  • yellowcard Bryan Heynen 56'
  • yellowcard Hendrik Van Crombrugge 73'
  • yellowcard Tolu Arokodare 75'
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 10
May 26, 2024 5.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Joseph Marien
  • Charles Vanhoutte 37' goal
  • Henok Teklab 42' yellowcard
  • Charles Vanhoutte 66' yellowcard
  • Gustaf Nilsson 80' goal
  • Christian Burgess 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andi Zeqiri 63'
  • redcard Zakaria El Ouahdi 78'