Bundesliga Gameweek 28
Apr 4, 2026 2.30pm
Europa-Park Stadion

Freiburg vs Bayern Munich - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions
Last game
Mar 22, 2026 4.30pm
St Pauli 1 - 2 Freiburg
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Igor Matanovic

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 2.30pm
Bayern 4 - 0 Union Berlin
Goals scored
97
Top scorer
Harry Kane

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 55.92%. A win for Freiburg has a probability of 22.5% and a draw has a probability of 21.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.54%) and 0-2 (8.51%). The likeliest Freiburg win is 2-1 (5.47%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.65%).

Result

Freiburg 22.5% (+0.08)
Draw 21.62%
Bayern Munich 55.92% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.22% (+0.13)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.68% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 18.32% (-0.13)
Over 2.5 60.59% (+0.14)
Under 2.5 39.41% (-0.15)
Over 3.5 38.87% (+0.13)
Under 3.5 61.13% (-0.13)
Over 4.5 25.17% (+0.11)
Under 4.5 74.83% (-0.11)

First Half Winner

Freiburg 27.96%
Draw 38.91%
Bayern Munich 33.13%

Team To Score First

Freiburg 44.72% (+0.01)
No Goal 4.71% (-0.04)
Bayern Munich 50.57% (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 54.32%
Equal 8 11.13%
Under 8 34.55%
Over 9 43.28%
Equal 9 11.05%
Under 9 45.68%
Over 10.5 33.16%
Under 10.5 66.84%

Freiburg Goals

Over 1.5 28.48% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 71.52% (-0.15)
Over 2.5 10.83% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 89.17% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 3.52% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 96.48% (-0.04)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5 82.86% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 17.14% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 56.86% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 43.14% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 31.27% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 68.73% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 14.41% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 85.59% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Freiburg 22.5%
Draw 21.62%
Bayern Munich 55.91%
Freiburg
2-1 @ 5.47% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 5.1% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 2.93% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 2.34% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.23% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.23% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.2% (+0.03)
Total : 22.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.65% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.43% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 4.71% (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.51% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.32% (+0.02)
Total : 21.62%
Bayern Munich
1-2 @ 9.42% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 8.54% (-0.08)
0-2 @ 8.51% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 5.93% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 5.6% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 3.82% (+0.03)
Other @ 14.09% (+0.03)
Total : 55.91%

Head to Head

Bundesliga
Nov 22, 2025 2.30pm
6
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Bundesliga Gameweek 19
Jan 25, 2025 2.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Schwarzwald-Stadion
  • Lukas Kubler 52' yellowcard
  • Lukas Kubler 52' yellowcard
  • Noah Atubolu 54' yellowcard
  • Noah Atubolu 54' yellowcard
  • Matthias Ginter 68' goal
  • Matthias Ginter 68' goal
  • Ritsu Doan 76' yellowcard
  • Ritsu Doan 76' yellowcard
  • Julian Schuster 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Vincenzo Grifo 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Julian Schuster 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Vincenzo Grifo 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Harry Kane 15'
  • goal Harry Kane 15'
  • goal Kim Min-jae 54'
  • goal Kim Min-jae 54'
  • yellowcard Harry Kane 63'
  • yellowcard Harry Kane 63'
  • yellowcard Thomas Muller 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Thomas Muller 90'+3'
Bundesliga Gameweek 2
Sep 1, 2024 4.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Allianz Arena
  • Dayot Upamecano 31' yellowcard
  • Harry Kane 38' goal
  • Thomas Muller 78' goal
Bundesliga Gameweek 24
Mar 1, 2024 7.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Schwarzwald-Stadion
  • Christian Gunter 12' goal
  • Lucas Holer 87' goal
  • Lucas Holer 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Mathys Tel 35'
  • yellowcard Mathys Tel 73'
  • goal Jamal Musiala 75'
  • yellowcard Aleksandar Pavlovic 79'
Bundesliga Gameweek 7
Oct 8, 2023 4.30pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Allianz Arena
  • Kingsley Coman 12' goal
  • Noussair Mazraoui 16' yellowcard
  • Leroy Sane 25' goal
  • Kingsley Coman 85' goal
Bundesliga Gameweek 27
Apr 8, 2023 2.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Matthijs de Ligt 51'