Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 57.02%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 21.78% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.46%) and 0-1 (8.11%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 2-1 (5.6%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.