Bundesliga Gameweek 28
Apr 4, 2026 2.30pm
2
3
HT : 0 0
FT Europa-Park Stadion
  • Johan Manzambi 46' goal
  • Lukas Kübler 65' yellowcard
  • Lucas Höler 71' goal
  • Igor Matanovic 78' yellowcard
  • Cyriaque Irié 78' yellowcard
  • Bruno Ogbus 89' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Höfler 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Michael Olise 56'
  • yellowcard Aleksandar Pavlovic 56'
  • yellowcard Konrad Laimer 56'
  • yellowcard Jamal Musiala 65'
  • goal Tom Bischof 81'
  • yellowcard Alphonso Davies 87'
  • goal Tom Bischof 90'+2'
  • goal Lennart Karl 90'+9'

Freiburg vs Bayern Munich - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions
Last game
Mar 22, 2026 4.30pm
St Pauli 1 - 2 Freiburg
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Igor Matanovic

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 2.30pm
Bayern 4 - 0 Union Berlin
Goals scored
100
Top scorer
Harry Kane

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 57.02%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 21.78% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.46%) and 0-1 (8.11%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 2-1 (5.6%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result

Freiburg 21.78% (+0.04)
Draw 21.2%
Bayern Munich 57.02% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.78%

Goals

Over 1.5 82.39% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 17.61% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 61.61% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 38.39% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 39.13%
Under 3.5 60.87%
Over 4.5 25.67% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 74.33% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Freiburg 26.98%
Draw 39%
Bayern Munich 34.02%

Team To Score First

Freiburg 42.11%
No Goal 4.54% (+0.01)
Bayern Munich 53.35% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 55.09%
Equal 8 10.68%
Under 8 34.23%
Over 9 44.4%
Equal 9 10.69%
Under 9 44.91%
Over 10.5 34.5%
Under 10.5 65.5%

Freiburg Goals

Over 1.5 27.8% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 72.2% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 10.19% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 89.81% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 3.07% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 96.93% (-0.01)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5 83.54% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 16.46% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 58.19% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 41.81% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 32.67% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 67.33% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 15.34%
Under 3.5 84.66%

Score analysis

Freiburg 21.78%
Draw 21.21%
Bayern Munich 57.02%
Freiburg
2-1 @ 5.6%
1-0 @ 4.97% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 2.81% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 2.14%
3-2 @ 2.11% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.31% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.84% (+0.01)
Total : 21.78%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.5%
2-2 @ 5.38%
0-0 @ 4.54% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.56%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 21.21%
Bayern Munich
1-2 @ 9.57% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 8.46% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 8.11%
0-3 @ 6% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 5.95%
2-3 @ 3.82%
Other @ 15.11%
Total : 57.02%

Head to Head

Bundesliga
Nov 22, 2025 2.30pm
6
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Bundesliga Gameweek 19
Jan 25, 2025 2.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Schwarzwald-Stadion
  • Lukas Kubler 52' yellowcard
  • Lukas Kubler 52' yellowcard
  • Noah Atubolu 54' yellowcard
  • Noah Atubolu 54' yellowcard
  • Matthias Ginter 68' goal
  • Matthias Ginter 68' goal
  • Ritsu Doan 76' yellowcard
  • Ritsu Doan 76' yellowcard
  • Julian Schuster 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Vincenzo Grifo 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Julian Schuster 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Vincenzo Grifo 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Harry Kane 15'
  • goal Harry Kane 15'
  • goal Kim Min-jae 54'
  • goal Kim Min-jae 54'
  • yellowcard Harry Kane 63'
  • yellowcard Harry Kane 63'
  • yellowcard Thomas Muller 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Thomas Muller 90'+3'
Bundesliga Gameweek 2
Sep 1, 2024 4.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Allianz Arena
  • Dayot Upamecano 31' yellowcard
  • Harry Kane 38' goal
  • Thomas Muller 78' goal
Bundesliga Gameweek 24
Mar 1, 2024 7.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Schwarzwald-Stadion
  • Christian Gunter 12' goal
  • Lucas Holer 87' goal
  • Lucas Holer 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Mathys Tel 35'
  • yellowcard Mathys Tel 73'
  • goal Jamal Musiala 75'
  • yellowcard Aleksandar Pavlovic 79'
Bundesliga Gameweek 7
Oct 8, 2023 4.30pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Allianz Arena
  • Kingsley Coman 12' goal
  • Noussair Mazraoui 16' yellowcard
  • Leroy Sane 25' goal
  • Kingsley Coman 85' goal
Bundesliga Gameweek 27
Apr 8, 2023 2.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Matthijs de Ligt 51'