Europa League
Mar 19, 2026 5.45pm
Europa-Park Stadion

Freiburg vs Genk - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Mar 12, 2026 8.00pm
Genk 1 - 0 Freiburg

Genk

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Mar 12, 2026 8.00pm
Genk 1 - 0 Freiburg

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Freiburg win with a probability of 49.27%. A win for Genk has a probability of 26.99% and a draw has a probability of 23.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.51%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Genk win is 0-1 (6.59%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.03%).

Result

Freiburg 49.27% (+0.04)
Draw 23.78%
Genk 26.99%

Both Teams to Score: 

55.47% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.36% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 21.64% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 55.6% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 44.4% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 33.47% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 66.53% (+0.08)
Over 4.5 19.79% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 80.21% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Freiburg 34.38%
Draw 40.5%
Genk 25.11%

Team To Score First

Freiburg 52.34%
No Goal 5.58% (+0.01)
Genk 42.08% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 46.83%
Equal 8 12.2%
Under 8 40.97%
Over 9 35.41%
Equal 9 11.41%
Under 9 53.17%
Over 10.5 25.6%
Under 10.5 74.4%

Freiburg Goals

Over 1.5 49.12% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 50.88% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 23.95% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 76.05% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 9.36% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 90.64% (+0.04)

Genk Goals

Over 0.5 63.48%
Under 0.5 36.52%
Over 1.5 30.94% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 69.06% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 11.41% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 88.59% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3.8%
Under 3.5 96.2%

Score analysis

Freiburg 49.27%
Draw 23.78%
Genk 26.99%
Freiburg
2-1 @ 9.54%
1-0 @ 9.51% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 7.76% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.38%
3-0 @ 4.56% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.37%
Other @ 9.15% (-0.03)
Total : 49.27%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.03%
2-2 @ 5.68% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.58% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.78%
Genk
0-1 @ 6.59% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 6.52% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.96% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.63%
2-3 @ 2.19% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 26.99%

Head to Head

Europa League
Mar 12, 2026 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Luminus Arena
  • Zakaria El Ouahdi 24' goal
  • Yaimar Medina 77' yellowcard
  • Mujaid Sadick 77' yellowcard
  • Yira Sor 77' yellowcard
  • Robin Mirisola 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Cyriaque Irié 63'
  • yellowcard Derry Scherhant 63'
  • yellowcard Lucas Höler 71'