Bundesliga Gameweek 30
Borussia M'bach
Apr 19, 2026 6.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion im Borussia-Park
Mainz
  • Joe Scally 7' goal
  • Franck Honorat 66' yellowcard
  • Fabio Chiarodia 71' yellowcard
  • Giovanni Reyna 72' yellowcard
  • Fabio Chiarodia 72' yellowcard
  • Lukas Ullrich 72' yellowcard
  • Kota Takai 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Phillipp Mwene 66'
  • yellowcard Armindo Sieb 66'
  • yellowcard Silvan Widmer 76'
  • yellowcard William Bøving 76'
  • yellowcard Nelson Weiper 82'
  • yellowcard Nelson Weiper 83'
  • yellowcard Nadiem Amiri 90'+8'

Borussia Monchengladbach vs Mainz 05 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Monchengladbach

All competitions
Last game
Apr 11, 2026 2.30pm
RB Leipzig 1 - 0 Borussia M'bach
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Haris Tabakovic

Mainz 05

All competitions
Last game
Apr 12, 2026 6.30pm
Mainz 0 - 1 Freiburg
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Paul Nebel

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 42.56%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 31.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (7.87%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result

Borussia Monchengladbach 42.56% ▼ (-0.40)
Draw 25.5% ▲ (+0.20)
Mainz 05 31.97% ▲ (+0.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.61% ▼ (-0.22)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.59% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 1.5 23.41% ▲ (+0.24)
Over 2.5 52.85% ▼ (-0.37)
Under 2.5 47.15% ▲ (+0.37)
Over 3.5 30.2% ▼ (-0.34)
Under 3.5 69.8% ▲ (+0.33)
Over 4.5 16.86% ▼ (-0.29)
Under 4.5 83.14% ▲ (+0.29)

First Half Winner

Borussia Monchengladbach 33.98% ▲ (+0.03)
Draw 40.58% ▼ (-0.15)
Mainz 05 25.44% ▲ (+0.13)

Team To Score First

Borussia Monchengladbach 51.87% ▼ (-0.06)
No Goal 6.31% ▲ (+0.11)
Mainz 05 41.82% ▼ (-0.07)

Corners

Over 8 51.12% ▼ (-1.03)
Equal 8 12.36% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 8 36.52% ▲ (+1.07)
Over 9 39.16% ▼ (-0.89)
Equal 9 11.96% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 9 48.88% ▲ (+1.03)
Over 10.5 28.57% ▼ (-0.70)
Under 10.5 71.43% ▲ (+0.71)

Borussia Monchengladbach Goals

Over 1.5 42.91% ▼ (-0.34)
Under 1.5 57.09% ▲ (+0.34)
Over 2.5 18.57% ▼ (-0.40)
Under 2.5 81.43% ▲ (+0.41)
Over 3.5 6.71% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 3.5 93.29% ▲ (+0.20)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5 67.45% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 0.5 32.55% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 1.5 34.33% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 65.67% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 12.89% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 87.11% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3.88%
Under 3.5 96.12%

Score analysis

Borussia Monchengladbach 42.57%
Draw 25.5%
Mainz 05 31.98%
Borussia Monchengladbach
1-0 @ 9.41% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.13% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 6.91% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.36% ▼ (-0.09)
3-0 @ 3.47% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 2.79% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 6.5% ▼ (-0.21)
Total : 42.57%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.89% ▲ (+0.06)
0-0 @ 6.31% ▲ (+0.11)
2-2 @ 5.85% ▲ (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.24% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.21% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 25.5%
Mainz 05
1-2 @ 7.87% ▲ (+0.03)
0-1 @ 7.74% ▲ (+0.17)
0-2 @ 4.93% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 3.13% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.45%
0-3 @ 2.19% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.67% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 31.98%

Head to Head

Bundesliga
Mainz
Dec 5, 2025 7.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Borussia M'bach
  • Nikolas Veratschnig 90' yellowcard
  • Andreas Hanche-Olsen 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joe Scally 25'
  • goal Danny da Costa 58' (OG)
Bundesliga Gameweek 25
Borussia M'bach
Mar 7, 2025 7.30pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT Stadion im BORUSSIA-PARK
Mainz
  • Stefan Lainer 73' goal
  • goal Paul Nebel 39'
  • goal Dominik Kohr 48'
  • goal Nadiem Amiri 77'
  • yellowcard Kaishu Sano 90'+2'
Bundesliga Gameweek 8
Mainz
Oct 25, 2024 7.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Mewa Arena
Borussia M'bach
  • Stefan Lainer 55' goal
  • Anthony Caci 74' yellowcard
  • Silvan Widmer 89' yellowcard
  • Nadiem Amiri 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joe Scally 40'
  • goal Tim Kleindienst 57'
  • yellowcard Philipp Sander 80'
Bundesliga Gameweek 24
Mainz
Mar 2, 2024 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Mewa Arena
Borussia M'bach
  • Jonathan Burkardt 12' goal
  • Leandro Barreiro 50' yellowcard
  • Bo Henriksen 57' yellowcard
  • Dominik Kohr 58' yellowcard
  • Phillipp Mwene 81' yellowcard
  • Dominik Kohr 83' redcard
  • Nadiem Amiri 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nathan N'Goumou 43'
  • goal Nathan N'Goumou 55'
Bundesliga Gameweek 7
Borussia M'bach
Oct 6, 2023 7.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stadion im BORUSSIA-PARK
Mainz
  • Florian Neuhaus 22' goal
  • Ko Itakura 56' yellowcard
  • Kouadio Kone 81' yellowcard
  • Robin Hack 82' yellowcard
  • Joe Scally 88' goal
  • goal Brajan Gruda 24'
  • yellowcard Stefan Bell 66'
  • goal Aymen Barkok 75'
Bundesliga Gameweek 22
Mainz
Feb 24, 2023 7.30pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Borussia M'bach
  • Lee Jae-sung 25' goal
  • Marcus Ingvartsen 49' goal
  • Ludovic Ajorque 72' goal
  • Nelson Weiper 90'+3' goal

Form Data

RB Leipzig 1 - 0 Borussia M'bach
Borussia M'bach 2 - 2 Heidenheim
Osnabruck 2 - 2 Borussia M'bach
FC Koln 3 - 3 Borussia M'bach
Borussia M'bach 2 - 0 St Pauli
Bayern 4 - 1 Borussia M'bach
Strasbourg 4 - 0 Mainz
Mainz 0 - 1 Freiburg
Mainz 2 - 0 Strasbourg
Hoffenheim 1 - 2 Mainz
Mainz 2 - 1 Frankfurt
Mainz 2 - 0 Olomouc