Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 43.28%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 32.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 (7.66%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.