Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 43.85%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 32.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.72%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 2-1 (7.56%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.