Bundesliga Gameweek 28
Apr 4, 2026 2.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT PreZero Arena
  • Fisnik Asllani 23' goal
  • Andrej Kramaric 61' yellowcard
  • Leon Avdullahu 61' yellowcard
  • Ihlas Bebou 84' yellowcard
  • Max Moerstedt 87' yellowcard
  • goal Phillip Tietz 13'
  • yellowcard Kacper Potulski 37'
  • yellowcard Nikolas Veratschnig 46'
  • yellowcard Armindo Sieb 75'
  • yellowcard Sota Kawasaki 75'
  • yellowcard Sota Kawasaki 76'
  • yellowcard Armindo Sieb 76'
  • goal Phillip Tietz 79'
  • yellowcard Lennard Maloney 87'

Hoffenheim vs Mainz 05 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Hoffenheim

All competitions
Last game
Mar 20, 2026 7.30pm
RB Leipzig 5 - 0 Hoffenheim
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Andrej Kramaric

Mainz 05

All competitions
Last game
Mar 22, 2026 2.30pm
Mainz 2 - 1 Frankfurt
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Paul Nebel

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 50.59%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 26.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.57%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (6.65%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result

Hoffenheim 50.59% (+0.04)
Draw 23.18%
Mainz 05 26.23% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.36% (-0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.15% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 18.85% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 59.76% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 40.21% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 37.5% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 62.5% (+0.08)
Over 4.5 22.72% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 77.28% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Hoffenheim 38.06%
Draw 37.98%
Mainz 05 23.96%

Team To Score First

Hoffenheim 58.3% (-0.02)
No Goal 4.71% (+0.02)
Mainz 05 36.99% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 64.28%
Equal 8 10.83%
Under 8 24.89%
Over 9 52.64%
Equal 9 11.64%
Under 9 35.72%
Over 10.5 41.21%
Under 10.5 58.79%

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 1.5 52.67% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 47.33% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 26.66% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 73.34% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 10.97% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 89.03% (+0.02)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5 64.08% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 35.92% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 32.66% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 67.34% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 12.33% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 87.67% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 3.97% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 96.03% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Hoffenheim 50.58%
Draw 23.19%
Mainz 05 26.23%
Hoffenheim
2-1 @ 9.72%
1-0 @ 8.57% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 7.51% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.8%
3-0 @ 4.39%
3-2 @ 3.85% (-0.01)
Other @ 10.74% (-0.01)
Total : 50.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.33%
2-2 @ 6.27% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.71% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.65%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.19%
Mainz 05
1-2 @ 6.65% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 5.57% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 3.56%
1-3 @ 2.71%
2-3 @ 2.51% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.49%
Other @ 3.74% (-0.02)
Total : 26.23%

Head to Head

Bundesliga
Nov 21, 2025 7.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Bundesliga Gameweek 29
Apr 12, 2025 2.30pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT DnB NOR Arena
  • Andrej Kramaric 4' goal
  • Arthur Chaves 23' yellowcard
  • Andrej Kramaric 32' goal
  • Stanley Nsoki 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Tom Bischof 75' yellowcard
  • Oliver Baumann 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Paul Nebel 49'
  • redcard Paul Nebel 90'+4'
Bundesliga Gameweek 12
Dec 1, 2024 2.30pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Mewa Arena
  • Jonathan Burkardt 4' goal
  • Phillipp Mwene 16' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Burkardt 24' goal
  • yellowcard Andrej Kramaric 28'
  • yellowcard Pavel Kaderabek 32'
  • yellowcard Anton Stach 47'
Bundesliga Gameweek 29
Apr 13, 2024 2.30pm
4
1
HT : 0 1
FT Mewa Arena
  • Jonathan Burkardt 47' goal
  • Phillipp Mwene 51' goal
  • Brajan Gruda 63' goal
  • Karim Onisiwo 88' goal
  • goal Pavel Kaderabek 19'
  • yellowcard Grischa Promel 39'
  • yellowcard Ozan Kabak 83'
Bundesliga Gameweek 12
Nov 26, 2023 4.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT PreZero Arena
  • Andrej Kramaric 25' yellowcard
  • John Brooks 30' yellowcard
  • Ozan Kabak 32' yellowcard
  • Grischa Promel 44' yellowcard
  • Robert Skov 48' goal
  • yellowcard Edimilson Fernandes 25'
  • yellowcard Anthony Caci 29'
  • goal Marco Richter 39'
  • yellowcard Marco Richter 68'
  • yellowcard Phillipp Mwene 90'+1'
Bundesliga Gameweek 23
Mar 4, 2023 2.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Leandro Barreiro 33' goal