Bundesliga Gameweek 27
RB Leipzig
Mar 20, 2026 7.30pm
5
0
HT : 4 0
FT Red Bull Arena
Hoffenheim
  • Brajan Gruda 17' goal
  • Christoph Baumgartner 21' goal
  • Christoph Baumgartner 30' goal
  • Brajan Gruda 44' goal
  • Ezechiel Banzuzi 66' yellowcard
  • Antonio Nusa 66' yellowcard
  • Antonio Nusa 67' yellowcard
  • Benjamin Henrichs 76' yellowcard
  • 76' yellowcard
  • Conrad Harder 76' yellowcard
  • Benjamin Henrichs 78' goal
  • Max Finkgräfe 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Albian Hajdari 46'
  • yellowcard Andrej Kramaric 46'
  • yellowcard Max Moerstedt 69'
  • yellowcard Cole Campbell 69'
  • yellowcard Cole Campbell 70'
  • yellowcard Muhammed Damar 76'

RB Leipzig vs Hoffenheim - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Last game
Mar 15, 2026 6.30pm
Stuttgart 1 - 0 RB Leipzig
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Christoph Baumgartner

Hoffenheim

All competitions
Last game
Mar 14, 2026 2.30pm
Hoffenheim 1 - 1 Wolfsburg
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Andrej Kramaric

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 45.35%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 30.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.51%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (7.22%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%).

Result

RB Leipzig 45.35% ▼ (-0.08)
Draw 23.7% ▲ (+0.03)
Hoffenheim 30.95% ▲ (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.11% ▼ (-0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.67% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 18.33% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 2.5 61.17% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 38.83% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 39.29% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 3.5 60.71% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 4.5 24.28% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 4.5 75.72% ▲ (+0.04)

First Half Winner

RB Leipzig 37.64%
Draw 36.23%
Hoffenheim 26.13%

Team To Score First

RB Leipzig 53.33% ▼ (-0.03)
No Goal 4.78% ▲ (+0.04)
Hoffenheim 41.89% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 68.88% ▲ (+0.02)
Equal 8 9.8%
Under 8 21.32% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 9 57.96% ▲ (+0.01)
Equal 9 10.92% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 31.12% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 10.5 46.81% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 10.5 53.19% ▼ (-0.02)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 1.5 49.41% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 1.5 50.59% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 2.5 25.03% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 74.97% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 10.5% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 89.5% ▲ (+0.04)

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 0.5 67.81% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 32.19% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 37.32% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 62.68% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 15.8% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 84.2% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 5.68% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 94.32% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

RB Leipzig 45.35%
Draw 23.71%
Hoffenheim 30.95%
RB Leipzig
2-1 @ 8.94% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.51%
2-0 @ 6.1% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.22% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.77% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.72%
Other @ 10.09% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 45.35%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.28% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.42%
0-0 @ 4.78% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.82%
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 23.71%
Hoffenheim
1-2 @ 7.22% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 6.05% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.11% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.38%
2-3 @ 2.92%
0-3 @ 2% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 5.27% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 30.95%

Head to Head

Bundesliga
Hoffenheim
Nov 8, 2025 2.30pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
RB Leipzig
Bundesliga Gameweek 28
RB Leipzig
Apr 5, 2025 2.30pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Red Bull Arena
Hoffenheim
  • Benjamin Sesko 24' goal
  • Bote Baku 43' goal
  • Yussuf Poulsen 84' goal
  • yellowcard Bazoumana Toure 4'
  • goal Tom Bischof 11'
  • redcard Leo Skiri Oestigaard 28'
  • yellowcard Arthur Chaves 72'
  • yellowcard Gift Orban 90'
Bundesliga Gameweek 11
Hoffenheim
Nov 23, 2024 2.30pm
4
3
HT : 1 2
FT DnB NOR Arena
RB Leipzig
  • Adam Hlozek 17' goal
  • Tom Bischof 50' goal
  • Andrej Kramaric 75' yellowcard
  • Adam Hlozek 82' goal
  • Jacob Bruun Larsen 87' goal
  • Pavel Kaderabek 90' yellowcard
  • goal Willi Orban 15'
  • goal Antonio Nusa 19'
  • goal Stanley Nsoki 67' (OG)
  • yellowcard Castello Lukeba 85'
Bundesliga Gameweek 32
Hoffenheim
May 3, 2024 7.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Campo La Quinta
RB Leipzig
  • Ozan Kabak 69' yellowcard
  • Andrej Kramaric 90' goal
  • goal Benjamin Sesko 38'
  • yellowcard Xavi Simons 55'
  • redcard Xavi Simons 72'
  • yellowcard David Raum 86'
Bundesliga Gameweek 15
RB Leipzig
Dec 16, 2023 5.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Trainingszentrum RB Leipzig Platz 1
Hoffenheim
  • Lukas Klostermann 34' goal
  • Amadou Haidara 40' yellowcard
  • Xavi Simons 62' yellowcard
  • Emil Forsberg 70' goal
  • Mohamed Simakan 74' goal
  • Lukas Klostermann 81' yellowcard
  • goal Ozan Kabak 42'
  • yellowcard Ozan Kabak 62'
  • yellowcard Florian Grillitsch 90'+5'
Bundesliga Gameweek 30
RB Leipzig
Apr 29, 2023 2.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Hoffenheim
  • Christopher Nkunku 28' goal

Form Data

Stuttgart 1 - 0 RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig 2 - 1 Augsburg
Hamburger SV 1 - 2 RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig 2 - 2 Dortmund
RB Leipzig 2 - 2 Wolfsburg
Bayern 2 - 0 RB Leipzig
Hoffenheim 1 - 1 Wolfsburg
Heidenheim 2 - 4 Hoffenheim
Hoffenheim 0 - 1 St Pauli
FC Koln 2 - 2 Hoffenheim
Hoffenheim 3 - 0 Freiburg
Bayern 5 - 1 Hoffenheim