Bundesliga Gameweek 24
Feb 28, 2026 2.30pm
PreZero Arena

Hoffenheim vs St Pauli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Hoffenheim

All competitions
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 2.30pm
FC Koln 2 - 2 Hoffenheim
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Andrej Kramaric

St Pauli

All competitions
Last game
Feb 22, 2026 4.30pm
St Pauli 2 - 1 Werder Bremen
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Martijn Kaars

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 61.62%. A draw has a probability of 20.71% and a win for St Pauli has a probability of 17.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.49%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.56%) , while for a St Pauli win it is 1-2 (4.95%).

Result

Hoffenheim 61.62% (-0.02)
Draw 20.71% (-0.04)
St Pauli 17.67% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.91% (+0.17)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.96% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 19.04% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 59.98% (+0.10)
Under 2.5 40.02% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 36.91% (+0.14)
Under 3.5 63.09% (-0.11)
Over 4.5 23.89% (+0.15)
Under 4.5 76.11% (-0.15)

First Half Winner

Hoffenheim 48.13%
Draw 34.84%
St Pauli 17.03%

Team To Score First

Hoffenheim 67.01% (+0.03)
No Goal 4.8% (-0.01)
St Pauli 28.19% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 62.83% (+0.16)
Equal 8 10.78% (-0.03)
Under 8 26.39% (-0.15)
Over 9 51.4% (+0.16)
Equal 9 11.43%
Under 9 37.17% (-0.16)
Over 10.5 40.27% (+0.15)
Under 10.5 59.73% (-0.15)

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 1.5 60.06% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 39.94% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 34.16% (+0.10)
Under 2.5 65.84% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 15.62% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 84.38% (-0.07)

St Pauli Goals

Over 0.5 54.23% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 45.77% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 23.11% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 76.89% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 7.07% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 92.93% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 1.87% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.13% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Hoffenheim 61.61%
Draw 20.72%
St Pauli 17.67%
Hoffenheim
2-1 @ 10.26% (-0.03)
1-0 @ 9.49% (-0.07)
2-0 @ 9.11% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 6.96% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.55%
3-2 @ 3.83% (+0.05)
Other @ 15.41% (+0.08)
Total : 61.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.56% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.95% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.8% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.2% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.21% (-0.02)
Total : 20.72%
St Pauli
1-2 @ 4.95% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 4.75% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.31% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.58% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.52% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.66% (+0.03)
Total : 17.67%

Head to Head

DFB-Pokal
Oct 28, 2025 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
ET
Bundesliga
Oct 19, 2025 4.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Bundesliga Gameweek 26
Mar 14, 2025 7.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Millerntor-Stadion
  • Noah Weisshaupt 51' goal
  • yellowcard Anton Stach 55'
Bundesliga Gameweek 9
Nov 2, 2024 2.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT DnB NOR Arena
  • goal Oladapo Afolayan 20'
  • yellowcard Morgan Guilavogui 64'
  • yellowcard Alexander Blessin 70'
  • goal Andreas Albers 90'+4'