Bundesliga
Feb 28, 2026 2.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT PreZero Arena
  • Alexander Prass 62' yellowcard
  • Bernardo 74' yellowcard
  • Tim Lemperle 74' yellowcard
  • Cole Campbell 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lars Ritzka 46'
  • goal Mathias Pereira Lage 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Connor Metcalfe 75'
  • yellowcard Abdoulie Ceesay 88'

Hoffenheim vs St Pauli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Hoffenheim

All competitions
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 2.30pm
FC Koln 2 - 2 Hoffenheim
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Andrej Kramaric

St Pauli

All competitions
Last game
Feb 22, 2026 4.30pm
St Pauli 2 - 1 Werder Bremen
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Martijn Kaars

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 61.62%. A draw had a probability of 20.71% and a win for St Pauli had a probability of 17.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.49%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%) , while for a St Pauli win it was 1-2 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result

Hoffenheim 61.62% (-0.02)
Draw 20.71% (-0.04)
St Pauli 17.67% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.91% (+0.17)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.96% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 19.04% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 59.98% (+0.10)
Under 2.5 40.02% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 36.91% (+0.14)
Under 3.5 63.09% (-0.11)
Over 4.5 23.89% (+0.15)
Under 4.5 76.11% (-0.15)

First Half Winner

Hoffenheim 48.13%
Draw 34.84%
St Pauli 17.03%

Team To Score First

Hoffenheim 67.01% (+0.03)
No Goal 4.8% (-0.01)
St Pauli 28.19% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 62.83% (+0.16)
Equal 8 10.78% (-0.03)
Under 8 26.39% (-0.15)
Over 9 51.4% (+0.16)
Equal 9 11.43%
Under 9 37.17% (-0.16)
Over 10.5 40.27% (+0.15)
Under 10.5 59.73% (-0.15)

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 1.5 60.06% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 39.94% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 34.16% (+0.10)
Under 2.5 65.84% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 15.62% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 84.38% (-0.07)

St Pauli Goals

Over 0.5 54.23% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 45.77% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 23.11% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 76.89% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 7.07% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 92.93% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 1.87% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.13% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Hoffenheim 61.61%
Draw 20.72%
St Pauli 17.67%
Hoffenheim
2-1 @ 10.26% (-0.03)
1-0 @ 9.49% (-0.07)
2-0 @ 9.11% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 6.96% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.55%
3-2 @ 3.83% (+0.05)
Other @ 15.41% (+0.08)
Total : 61.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.56% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.95% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.8% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.2% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.21% (-0.02)
Total : 20.72%
St Pauli
1-2 @ 4.95% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 4.75% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.31% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.58% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.52% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.66% (+0.03)
Total : 17.67%

Head to Head

DFB-Pokal
Oct 28, 2025 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
ET
Bundesliga
Oct 19, 2025 4.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Bundesliga Gameweek 26
Mar 14, 2025 7.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Millerntor-Stadion
  • Noah Weisshaupt 51' goal
  • yellowcard Anton Stach 55'
Bundesliga Gameweek 9
Nov 2, 2024 2.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT DnB NOR Arena
  • goal Oladapo Afolayan 20'
  • yellowcard Morgan Guilavogui 64'
  • yellowcard Alexander Blessin 70'
  • goal Andreas Albers 90'+4'