Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 61.62%. A draw had a probability of 20.71% and a win for St Pauli had a probability of 17.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.49%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%) , while for a St Pauli win it was 1-2 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.