Bundesliga
Gameweek
23
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-
Mathias Pereira Lage
53'
-
Hauke Wahl
55'
-
Joel Chima Fujita
70'
-
James Sands
80'
-
Mathias Rasmussen
87'
-
Mathias Rasmussen
88'
-
Leonardo Bittencourt
60'
-
Jovan Milosevic
61'
-
Jovan Milosevic
62'
-
Keke Topp
79'
St Pauli vs Werder Bremen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 41.64%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 31.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 0-1 (8.43%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
Result
St Pauli
41.64%
▲
(+0.19)
Draw
26.54%
▼
(-0.04)
Werder Bremen
31.82%
▼
(-0.15)
Both Teams to Score:
52.86%
▼
(-0.01)
Goals
Over 1.5
73.66%
Under 1.5
26.34%
Over 2.5
49.2%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 2.5
50.8%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 3.5
28.18%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 3.5
71.82%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 4.5
15.3%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 4.5
84.7%
▲
(+0.11)
First Half Winner
St Pauli
28.8%
▲
(+0.02)
Draw
41.53%
Werder Bremen
29.67%
Team To Score First
St Pauli
46.26%
▲
(+0.01)
No Goal
7.46%
Werder Bremen
46.28%
▼
(-0.01)
Corners
Over 8
61.1%
▲
(+0.04)
Equal 8
11.33%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 8
27.57%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 9
49.22%
▲
(+0.04)
Equal 9
11.87%
Under 9
38.9%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 10.5
37.86%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 10.5
62.14%
▼
(-0.04)
St Pauli Goals
Over 1.5
40.32%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 1.5
59.68%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 2.5
16.63%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 2.5
83.37%
▼
(-0.09)
Over 3.5
5.8%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 3.5
94.2%
▼
(-0.04)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5
66.05%
▼
(-0.18)
Under 0.5
33.95%
▲
(+0.18)
Over 1.5
32.75%
▼
(-0.18)
Under 1.5
67.25%
▲
(+0.19)
Over 2.5
12.31%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 2.5
87.69%
▲
(+0.13)
Over 3.5
3.84%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 3.5
96.16%
▲
(+0.07)
Score analysis
St Pauli
41.64%
Draw
26.53%
Werder Bremen
31.82%
St Pauli
1-0
@
10.44%
▲
(+0.03)
2-1 @ 8.58% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.21% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.08% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 3.19% ▲ (+0.07)
3-2 @ 2.5% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 5.64% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 41.64%
2-1 @ 8.58% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.21% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.08% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 3.19% ▲ (+0.07)
3-2 @ 2.5% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 5.64% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 41.64%
Draw
1-1
@
12.21%
▲
(+0.03)
0-0 @ 7.46%
2-2 @ 5.64% ▼ (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.16% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 26.53%
0-0 @ 7.46%
2-2 @ 5.64% ▼ (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.16% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 26.53%
Werder Bremen
0-1
@
8.43%
▼
(-0.06)
1-2 @ 7.26%
0-2 @ 5.04% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.16% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 1.99% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.68% ▼ (-0.07)
Total : 31.82%
1-2 @ 7.26%
0-2 @ 5.04% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.16% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 1.99% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.68% ▼ (-0.07)
Total : 31.82%
Head to Head
Club Friendlies 3
Bundesliga
Bundesliga
Gameweek
31
-
Oliver Burke
80'
-
Leonardo Bittencourt
82'
-
Marco Friedl
90'
-
Manolis Saliakas
63'
-
Connor Metcalfe
89'
-
Connor Metcalfe
90'+2'
Bundesliga
Gameweek
14
-
Danel Sinani
62'
-
Eric Smith
64'
-
Niklas Stark
8'
-
Marco Friedl
12'
-
Derrick Kohn
24'
-
Jens Stage
43'
-
Marvin Ducksch
54'
2.Bundesliga
Gameweek
29
-
Daniel-Kofi Kyereh
43'
-
Philipp Ziereis
84'
-
Niclas Fullkrug
58'
2.Bundesliga
Gameweek
12
-
Marco Friedl
24'
-
Marvin Ducksch
50'
-
Nicolai Rapp
54'
-
Marvin Ducksch
62'
-
Oscar Schonfelder
88'
-
Jakov Medic
14'
-
Finn Ole Becker
67'
-
Guido Burgstaller
83'