Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 59.05%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 21.79% and a draw had a probability of 19.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.23%) and 3-1 (7.11%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (5.26%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.