Bundesliga
Mar 7, 2026 2.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Volkswagen Arena
  • Christian Eriksen 22' yellowcard
  • Mohamed Amoura 60' yellowcard
  • Adam Daghim 60' yellowcard
  • Lovro Majer 60' yellowcard
  • Kento Shiogai 69' yellowcard
  • Maximilian Arnold 77' yellowcard
  • Maximilian Arnold 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luka Vuskovic 33'
  • yellowcard Warmed Omari 46'
  • yellowcard Jean-Luc Dompé 58'
  • yellowcard Yussuf Poulsen 67'
  • yellowcard Fábio Vieira 67'
  • yellowcard Damion Downs 77'
  • yellowcard Damion Downs 78'
  • yellowcard Giorgi Gocholeishvili 86'

Wolfsburg vs Hamburger SV - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Wolfsburg

All competitions
Last game
Mar 1, 2026 2.30pm
Stuttgart 4 - 0 Wolfsburg
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Dzenan Pejcinovic

Hamburger SV

All competitions
Last game
Mar 4, 2026 7.30pm
Hamburger SV 0 - 1 B. Leverkusen
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Fabio Vieira

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 42.09%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.12%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-0 (8.17%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.

Result

Wolfsburg 32.13%
Draw 25.78%
Hamburger SV 42.09% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.21% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.61% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 24.39% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 51.97% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 48.03% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 29.76% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 70.24% (+0.08)
Over 4.5 16.6% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 83.4% (+0.07)

First Half Winner

Wolfsburg 28.93%
Draw 40.45%
Hamburger SV 30.61%

Team To Score First

Wolfsburg 45.61% (-0.01)
No Goal 6.81% (+0.01)
Hamburger SV 47.58%

Corners

Over 8 65.76% (+0.02)
Equal 8 10.6%
Under 8 23.64% (-0.01)
Over 9 54.24% (+0.03)
Equal 9 11.53%
Under 9 34.24% (-0.01)
Over 10.5 42.78% (+0.03)
Under 10.5 57.22% (-0.03)

Wolfsburg Goals

Over 1.5 33.94% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 66.06% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 12.72% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 87.28% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 3.83% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 96.17% (+0.02)

Hamburger SV Goals

Over 0.5 74.11% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 25.89% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 42.19% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 57.81% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 18.14% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 81.86% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 6.54% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 93.46% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Wolfsburg 32.13%
Draw 25.78%
Hamburger SV 42.09%
Wolfsburg
1-0 @ 8.17% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 7.55%
2-0 @ 5.05% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.16% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.34% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.17% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.69% (-0.02)
Total : 32.13%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.8% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.81% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.81%
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.78%
Hamburger SV
0-1 @ 9.41% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 9.12% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.78% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 4.19% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 3.38%
2-3 @ 2.81% (-0.01)
Other @ 6.4% (-0.02)
Total : 42.09%

Head to Head

Bundesliga
Oct 25, 2025 2.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Bundesliga
Apr 28, 2018 2.30pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT VOLKSWAGEN ARENA (Wolfsburg)
  • Paul Verhaegh 44' yellowcard
  • Robin Knoche 51' yellowcard
  • Josip Brekalo 78' goal
  • Josip Brekalo 84' yellowcard
  • goal Bobby Wood 43'
  • goal Lewis Holtby 45'
  • yellowcard Julian Pollersbeck 67'
  • yellowcard Kyriakos Papadopoulos 88'
  • goal Gian-Luca Waldschmidt 90'
Bundesliga
Dec 9, 2017 2.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Volksparkstadion (Hamburg)
  • Dennis Diekmeier 61' yellowcard
  • Filip Kostic 71' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Paul-Georges Ntep 59'
  • yellowcard William 77'
Bundesliga
May 20, 2017 2.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Gotoku Sakai 25' yellowcard
  • Filip Kostic 32' goal
  • Kyriakos Papadopoulos 80' yellowcard
  • Gian-Luca Waldschmidt 88' goal
  • Michael Gregoritsch 90' yellowcard
  • goal Robin Knoche 23'
  • yellowcard Josuha Guilavogui 36'
  • yellowcard Vieirinha 59'
  • yellowcard Koen Casteels 90'
Bundesliga
Jan 21, 2017 2.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Diego Benaglio 33' yellowcard
  • Mario Gomez 83' goal
  • Luiz Gustavo 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Albin Ekdal 28'
  • redcard Albin Ekdal 33'
  • yellowcard Matthias Ostrzolek 38'
Bundesliga
May 7, 2016 2.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Luiz Gustavo 73'