Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 42.09%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.12%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-0 (8.17%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.