Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 54.76%. A draw had a probability of 24.52% and a win for Eintracht Frankfurt had a probability of 20.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.62%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%) , while for a Eintracht Frankfurt win it was 0-1 (6.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.