Bundesliga Gameweek 27
Mar 22, 2026 2.30pm
Mewa Arena

Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Mainz 05

All competitions
Last game
Mar 15, 2026 2.30pm
Werder Bremen 0 - 2 Mainz
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Nadiem Amiri

Eintracht Frankfurt

All competitions
Last game
Mar 14, 2026 2.30pm
Frankfurt 1 - 0 Heidenheim
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Arnaud Kalimuendo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 54.97%. A draw has a probability of 24.45% and a win for Eintracht Frankfurt has a probability of 20.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.65%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.78%) , while for a Eintracht Frankfurt win it is 0-1 (6.33%).

Result

Mainz 05 54.97% (+3.75)
Draw 24.45% (-0.98)
Eintracht Frankfurt 20.55% (-2.77)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.07% (-0.86)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.58% (+0.27)
Under 1.5 26.42% (-0.26)
Over 2.5 50.26% (+0.27)
Under 2.5 49.74% (-0.27)
Over 3.5 29.16% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 70.84% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 17.52% (+0.31)
Under 4.5 82.48% (-0.32)

First Half Winner

Mainz 05 38.72% (+1.15)
Draw 38.68% (-0.01)
Eintracht Frankfurt 22.6% (-1.13)

Team To Score First

Mainz 05 57.44% (+2.87)
No Goal 7.9% (-0.19)
Eintracht Frankfurt 34.66% (-2.69)

Corners

Over 8 54.44% (-1.81)
Equal 8 11.92% (+0.19)
Under 8 33.64% (+1.61)
Over 9 42.6% (-1.83)
Equal 9 11.84% (+0.03)
Under 9 45.56% (+1.81)
Over 10.5 31.82% (-1.71)
Under 10.5 68.18% (+1.72)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 1.5 50.1% (+2.67)
Under 1.5 49.9% (-2.67)
Over 2.5 24.9% (+2.21)
Under 2.5 75.1% (-2.22)
Over 3.5 10.31% (+1.29)
Under 3.5 89.69% (-1.29)

Eintracht Frankfurt Goals

Over 0.5 54.55% (-2.92)
Under 0.5 45.45% (+2.92)
Over 1.5 22.74% (-2.82)
Under 1.5 77.26% (+2.83)
Over 2.5 7.32% (-1.58)
Under 2.5 92.68% (+1.59)
Over 3.5 2.13% (-0.67)
Under 3.5 97.87% (+0.67)

Score analysis

Mainz 05 54.96%
Draw 24.45%
Eintracht Frankfurt 20.54%
Mainz 05
1-0 @ 12.14% (+0.36)
2-0 @ 9.65% (+0.71)
2-1 @ 9.4% (+0.31)
3-0 @ 5.56% (+0.70)
3-1 @ 5.3% (+0.35)
3-2 @ 2.76%
Other @ 10.15% (+1.33)
Total : 54.96%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.78% (-0.31)
0-0 @ 7.9% (-0.19)
2-2 @ 4.64% (-0.32)
Other @ 0.16% (-0.05)
Total : 24.45%
Eintracht Frankfurt
0-1 @ 6.33% (-0.44)
1-2 @ 5.12% (-0.54)
0-2 @ 2.9% (-0.40)
1-3 @ 1.7% (-0.33)
2-3 @ 1.51% (-0.24)
0-3 @ 1.01% (-0.24)
Other @ 1.97% (-0.62)
Total : 20.54%

Head to Head

Bundesliga
Nov 9, 2025 6.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Bundesliga Gameweek 32
May 4, 2025 6.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Mewa Arena
  • Jonathan Burkardt 57' goal
  • Nadiem Amiri 72' yellowcard
  • goal Rasmus Kristensen 16'
Bundesliga Gameweek 15
Dec 21, 2024 2.30pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT Deutsche Bank Park (Frankfurt am Main)
  • Jean-Matteo Bahoya 65' yellowcard
  • Rasmus Kristensen 75' goal
  • yellowcard Phillipp Mwene 11'
  • goal Kaua Morais Vieira dos Santos 15' (OG)
  • redcard Nadiem Amiri 21'
  • goal Paul Nebel 27'
  • goal Paul Nebel 58'
Bundesliga Gameweek 19
Jan 26, 2024 7.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Commerzbank-Arena
  • William Pacho 24' yellowcard
  • Niels Nkounkou 34' yellowcard
  • Mario Gotze 72' goal
  • yellowcard Silvan Widmer 40'
Bundesliga Gameweek 2
Aug 27, 2023 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT OPEL ARENA
  • Lee Jae-sung 25' goal
  • Edimilson Fernandes 55' yellowcard
  • Dominik Kohr 75' yellowcard
  • Sepp van den Berg 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Robin Koch 32'
  • yellowcard Dino Toppmoller 33'
  • yellowcard Ansgar Knauff 49'
  • redcard Ansgar Knauff 61'
  • goal Omar Marmoush 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Omar Marmoush 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Bo Svensson 90'+6'
Bundesliga Gameweek 32
May 13, 2023 2.30pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Daichi Kamada 18' goal
  • Buta 40' goal
  • Randal Kolo 59' goal