Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 58.57%. A draw had a probability of 22.03% and a win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 19.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.56%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.22%) , while for a Borussia Monchengladbach win it was 1-2 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.