Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 46.91%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 29.93% and a draw had a probability of 23.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.52%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (6.93%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.