Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 44.3%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 31.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.12%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 1-2 (7.51%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.