Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 44.27%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 31.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.01%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 2-1 (7.4%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.