Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 50.51%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 25.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.02%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 1-2 (6.6%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.