Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 62.24%. A draw had a probability of 20.99% and a win for Heidenheim had a probability of 16.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.88%) and 1-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%) , while for a Heidenheim win it was 1-0 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.