Conference League
Apr 9, 2026 8.00pm
Mewa Arena

Mainz 05 vs Strasbourg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Mainz 05

All competitions

Strasbourg

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 41.91%. A win for Strasbourg has a probability of 31.81% and a draw has a probability of 26.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Strasbourg win is 0-1 (8.63%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.11%).

Result

Mainz 05 41.91% (-0.06)
Draw 26.31% (+0.01)
Strasbourg 31.81% (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.47% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.52% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 27.48% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 47.97% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 52.02% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 26.4% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 73.6% (-0.07)
Over 4.5 14.48% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 85.52% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Mainz 05 29.14%
Draw 42.36%
Strasbourg 28.49%

Team To Score First

Mainz 05 46.73% (+0.02)
No Goal 7.92% (-0.05)
Strasbourg 45.35% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 50.32% (-0.11)
Equal 8 11.95% (-0.02)
Under 8 37.73% (+0.12)
Over 9 38.84% (-0.08)
Equal 9 11.49% (-0.02)
Under 9 49.68% (+0.11)
Over 10.5 28.68% (-0.06)
Under 10.5 71.32% (+0.06)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 1.5 39.27% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 60.73% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 16.24% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 83.76% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 5.33%
Under 3.5 94.67%

Strasbourg Goals

Over 0.5 64.89% (+0.13)
Under 0.5 35.11% (-0.14)
Over 1.5 31.77% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 68.23% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 12.03% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 87.97% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 3.97% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 96.03% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Mainz 05 41.9%
Draw 26.3%
Strasbourg 31.8%
Mainz 05
1-0 @ 10.93% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 8.49%
2-0 @ 7.42%
3-1 @ 3.89% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.69% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.33%
Other @ 5.15%
Total : 41.9%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.11% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 7.92% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.09% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 26.3%
Strasbourg
0-1 @ 8.63% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 7.28% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 5.04% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.92% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.11% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.03% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.79% (+0.02)
Total : 31.8%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 1
Aug 9, 2025 2.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT