Conference League
Apr 16, 2026 8.00pm
Stade de la Meinau

Strasbourg vs Mainz 05 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Strasbourg

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Apr 9, 2026 8.00pm
Mainz 2 - 0 Strasbourg

Mainz 05

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Apr 9, 2026 8.00pm
Mainz 2 - 0 Strasbourg

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Strasbourg win with a probability of 53.76%. A win for Mainz 05 has a probability of 23.13% and a draw has a probability of 23.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win is 0-1 (6.26%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.92%).

Result

Strasbourg 53.76%
Draw 23.11%
Mainz 05 23.13%

Both Teams to Score: 

54.3%

Goals

Over 1.5 77.43%
Under 1.5 22.57%
Over 2.5 54.15%
Under 2.5 45.85%
Over 3.5 32.04%
Under 3.5 67.96%
Over 4.5 19.11%
Under 4.5 80.89%

First Half Winner

Strasbourg 42.19%
Draw 38.31%
Mainz 05 19.5%

Team To Score First

Strasbourg 62.71%
No Goal 5.8%
Mainz 05 31.49%

Corners

Over 8 53.55%
Equal 8 11.48%
Under 8 34.96%
Over 9 42.23%
Equal 9 11.32%
Under 9 46.45%
Over 10.5 31.94%
Under 10.5 68.06%

Strasbourg Goals

Over 1.5 51.52%
Under 1.5 48.48%
Over 2.5 25.68%
Under 2.5 74.32%
Over 3.5 10.34%
Under 3.5 89.66%

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5 59.16%
Under 0.5 40.84%
Over 1.5 26.57%
Under 1.5 73.43%
Over 2.5 8.9%
Under 2.5 91.1%
Over 3.5 2.59%
Under 3.5 97.41%

Score analysis

Strasbourg 53.76%
Draw 23.11%
Mainz 05 23.13%
Strasbourg
1-0 @ 10.51%
2-1 @ 9.8%
2-0 @ 8.98%
3-1 @ 5.61%
3-0 @ 5.32%
3-2 @ 3.31%
Other @ 10.23%
Total : 53.76%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.92%
0-0 @ 5.8%
2-2 @ 5.18%
3-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.11%
Mainz 05
0-1 @ 6.26%
1-2 @ 5.8%
0-2 @ 3.38%
1-3 @ 2.14%
2-3 @ 1.88%
0-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 23.13%

Head to Head

Conference League
Apr 9, 2026 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Mewa Arena
  • Kaishu Sano 11' goal
  • Stefan Posch 19' goal
  • 69' yellowcard
  • Nikolas Veratschnig 69' yellowcard
  • Armindo Sieb 69' yellowcard
  • Nikolas Veratschnig 70' yellowcard
  • William Bøving 70' yellowcard
  • Kacper Potulski 80' yellowcard
  • Lennard Maloney 89' yellowcard
  • Lennard Maloney 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Emegha 64'
  • yellowcard Diego Moreira 64'
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Emegha 65'
  • yellowcard Diego Moreira 65'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Nanasi 85'
Club Friendlies 1
Aug 9, 2025 2.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT