Champions League
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Bayern Munich vs Real Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 59.14%. A win for Real Madrid has a probability of 21.63% and a draw has a probability of 19.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (6.99%) and 3-1 (6.59%). The likeliest Real Madrid win is 1-2 (5.07%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (7.75%).
Result
Bayern Munich
59.14%
▲
(+0.21)
Draw
19.23%
▼
(-0.06)
Real Madrid
21.63%
▼
(-0.15)
Both Teams to Score:
61.35%
▲
(+0.18)
Goals
Over 1.5
87.13%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 1.5
12.87%
▼
(-0.12)
Over 2.5
69.79%
▲
(+0.24)
Under 2.5
30.21%
▼
(-0.24)
Over 3.5
49.37%
▲
(+0.30)
Under 3.5
50.63%
▼
(-0.30)
Over 4.5
34.18%
▲
(+0.25)
Under 4.5
65.82%
▼
(-0.25)
First Half Winner
Bayern Munich
42.83%
Draw
34.77%
Real Madrid
22.4%
Team To Score First
Bayern Munich
62.13%
▲
(+0.04)
No Goal
3.05%
▼
(-0.06)
Real Madrid
34.82%
▲
(+0.03)
Corners
Over 8
56.3%
Equal 8
10.07%
Under 8
33.63%
Over 9
46.08%
Equal 9
10.22%
Under 9
43.7%
Over 10.5
36.47%
Under 10.5
63.53%
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 1.5
64.06%
▲
(+0.27)
Under 1.5
35.94%
▼
(-0.27)
Over 2.5
39.83%
▲
(+0.26)
Under 2.5
60.17%
▼
(-0.26)
Over 3.5
20.79%
▲
(+0.20)
Under 3.5
79.21%
▼
(-0.21)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5
57.44%
▼
(-0.14)
Under 0.5
42.56%
▲
(+0.14)
Over 1.5
30.78%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 1.5
69.22%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 2.5
12.62%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 2.5
87.38%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 3.5
4.79%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 3.5
95.21%
▼
(-0.02)
Score analysis
Bayern Munich
59.14%
Draw
19.22%
Real Madrid
21.64%
Bayern Munich
2-1
@
8.6%
▼
(-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.99% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.59% ▲ (+0.04)
1-0 @ 6.1% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 6.04%
3-2 @ 4.44% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 20.38% ▲ (+0.20)
Total : 59.14%
2-0 @ 6.99% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.59% ▲ (+0.04)
1-0 @ 6.1% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 6.04%
3-2 @ 4.44% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 20.38% ▲ (+0.20)
Total : 59.14%
Draw
1-1
@
7.75%
▼
(-0.05)
2-2 @ 6.04% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.05% ▼ (-0.06)
3-3 @ 1.97% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 19.22%
2-2 @ 6.04% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.05% ▼ (-0.06)
3-3 @ 1.97% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 19.22%
Real Madrid
1-2
@
5.07%
▼
(-0.05)
0-1 @ 3.72% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 2.61% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 2.6% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.55% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 4.38% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 21.64%
0-1 @ 3.72% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 2.61% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 2.6% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.55% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 4.38% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 21.64%
Head to Head
Champions League
-
Jude Bellingham
62'
-
Éder Militão
62'
-
Brahim Díaz
71'
-
Kylian Mbappé
74'
-
Luis Díaz
41'
-
Harry Kane
46'
-
Alphonso Davies
69'
-
Jamal Musiala
69'
-
Tom Bischof
90'+3'
-
Leon Goretzka
90'+3'
Champions League
-
Joselu
88'
-
Joselu
90'+1'
-
Eduardo Camavinga
90'+11'
-
Alphonso Davies
68'
-
Thomas Tuchel
90'+7'
Champions League
-
Noussair Mazraoui
46'
-
Leroy Sane
50'
-
Harry Kane
62'
-
Kim Min-jae
72'
-
Vinicius Junior
29'
-
Toni Kroos
67'
-
Lucas Vazquez
85'+1'
-
Vinicius Junior
89'
Pre-Season Friendlies
-
Corentin Tolisso
15'
-
Joshua Kimmich
51'
-
Robert Lewandowski
67'
-
Serge Gnabry
69'
-
Sven Ulreich
81'
-
Leon Goretzka
92'
-
Rodrygo
84'
Champions League
-
Karim Benzema
11'
-
Karim Benzema
46'
-
Luka Modric
62'
-
Lucas Vazquez
65'
-
Raphael Varane
88'
-
Casemiro
89'
-
Joshua Kimmich
3'
-
James Rodriguez
63'
Champions League
-
Joshua Kimmich
28'
-
Franck Ribery
52'
-
Thiago Alcantara
89'
-
Marcelo
44'
-
Marco Asensio
57'
-
Casemiro
78'