Champions League
Apr 15, 2026 8.00pm
4
3
HT : 2 3
FT Allianz Arena
  • Aleksandar Pavlovic 6' goal
  • Harry Kane 38' goal
  • Alphonso Davies 46' yellowcard
  • Jamal Musiala 61' yellowcard
  • Luis Díaz 89' goal
  • Michael Olise 90'+4' goal
  • goal Arda Güler 1'
  • goal Arda Güler 29'
  • goal Kylian Mbappé 42'
  • yellowcard Eduardo Camavinga 62'
  • yellowcard Thiago Pitarch 90'
  • yellowcard Franco Mastantuono 90'
  • yellowcard Franco Mastantuono 90'+1'

Bayern Munich vs Real Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Apr 7, 2026 8.00pm
Real Madrid 1 - 2 Bayern

Real Madrid

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Apr 7, 2026 8.00pm
Real Madrid 1 - 2 Bayern

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 59.52%. A win for Real Madrid had a probability of 20.97% and a draw had a probability of 19.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.25%) and 3-1 (6.58%). The likeliest Real Madrid win was 1-2 (5.15%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.07%).

Result

Bayern Munich 59.52% (-0.09)
Draw 19.54% (+0.04)
Real Madrid 20.97% (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.06% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 86.23% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 13.77% (+0.10)
Over 2.5 68.31% (-0.10)
Under 2.5 31.69% (+0.12)
Over 3.5 47.35% (-0.48)
Under 3.5 52.65% (+0.48)
Over 4.5 32.51% (-0.40)
Under 4.5 67.49% (+0.40)

First Half Winner

Bayern Munich 42.86%
Draw 34.75%
Real Madrid 22.4%

Team To Score First

Bayern Munich 62.08% (-0.04)
No Goal 3.37% (+0.06)
Real Madrid 34.55% (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 55.62% (-0.25)
Equal 8 9.95%
Under 8 34.43% (+0.25)
Over 9 45.56% (-0.24)
Equal 9 10.06% (-0.02)
Under 9 44.38% (+0.25)
Over 10.5 36.12% (-0.22)
Under 10.5 63.88% (+0.22)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 1.5 63.47% (-0.25)
Under 1.5 36.53% (+0.25)
Over 2.5 39.19% (-0.21)
Under 2.5 60.81% (+0.21)
Over 3.5 20.23% (-0.22)
Under 3.5 79.77% (+0.22)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 56.74% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 43.26% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 29.41% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 70.59% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 11.5% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 88.5% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 4.18% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 95.82% (+0.06)

Score analysis

Bayern Munich 59.52%
Draw 19.53%
Real Madrid 20.96%
Bayern Munich
2-1 @ 8.78% (+0.07)
2-0 @ 7.25% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 6.58% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 6.51% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 6.28% (+0.11)
3-2 @ 4.26% (-0.05)
Other @ 19.86% (-0.22)
Total : 59.52%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.07% (+0.06)
2-2 @ 5.88% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 3.37% (+0.06)
3-3 @ 1.84% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.37% (-0.02)
Total : 19.53%
Real Madrid
1-2 @ 5.15% (+0.13)
0-1 @ 3.9% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.62% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.37% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 2.36% (-0.06)
Other @ 3.81% (-0.05)
Total : 20.96%

Head to Head

Champions League
Apr 7, 2026 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
  • Jude Bellingham 62' yellowcard
  • Éder Militão  62' yellowcard
  • Brahim Díaz 71' yellowcard
  • Kylian Mbappé 74' goal
  • goal Luis Díaz 41'
  • goal Harry Kane   46'
  • yellowcard Alphonso Davies 69'
  • yellowcard Jamal Musiala 69'
  • yellowcard Tom Bischof 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Leon Goretzka 90'+3'
Champions League
May 8, 2024 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
  • Joselu 88' goal
  • Joselu 90'+1' goal
  • Eduardo Camavinga 90'+11' yellowcard
  • goal Alphonso Davies 68'
  • yellowcard Thomas Tuchel 90'+7'
Champions League
Apr 30, 2024 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Allianz Arena
  • Noussair Mazraoui 46' yellowcard
  • Leroy Sane 50' goal
  • Harry Kane 62' goal
  • Kim Min-jae 72' yellowcard
  • goal Vinicius Junior 29'
  • yellowcard Toni Kroos 67'
  • yellowcard Lucas Vazquez 85'+1'
  • goal Vinicius Junior 89'
Pre-Season Friendlies
Jul 21, 2019 1.00am
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Corentin Tolisso 15' goal
  • Joshua Kimmich 51' yellowcard
  • Robert Lewandowski 67' goal
  • Serge Gnabry 69' goal
  • Sven Ulreich 81' redcard
  • Leon Goretzka 92' yellowcard
  • goal Rodrygo 84'
Champions League
May 1, 2018 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabéu (Madrid)
  • Karim Benzema 11' goal
  • Karim Benzema 46' goal
  • Luka Modric 62' yellowcard
  • Lucas Vazquez 65' yellowcard
  • Raphael Varane 88' yellowcard
  • Casemiro 89' yellowcard
  • goal Joshua Kimmich 3'
  • goal James Rodriguez 63'
Champions League
Apr 25, 2018 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Allianz Arena (München)
  • Joshua Kimmich 28' goal
  • Franck Ribery 52' yellowcard
  • Thiago Alcantara 89' yellowcard
  • goal Marcelo 44'
  • goal Marco Asensio 57'
  • yellowcard Casemiro 78'

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